coldreserve
0x0dfd73cce4b646776c5c17b001985da595952df8
- Realised P&L
- $-11.40
- Volume
- $176.78
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $43.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trevor Lawrence have 22.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes | 0.766 | 0.725 | $26.82 | −$1.53 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.335 | $6.70 | −$6.70 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 5%-10%? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.245 | $4.85 | +$0.10 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes | 0.305 | 0.242 | $2.42 | −$0.63 |
| Will the season series between the Giants and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No | 0.350 | 0.465 | $2.33 | +$0.57 |
| Will the Bears win the season series against the Vikings during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.80at 0.570Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$-7.00at 0.470Will Algeria win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group I?