PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x11b71f2c8fef27a3e7174cd9b89a6a59fcb34b0f

Realised P&L
$-6.13
Volume
$9.9k
Markets traded
547
Open portfolio
$156.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded547
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · No0.2330.325$13.74+$3.89
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5430.675$11.54+$2.26
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2600.255$9.81$0.19
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · No0.1700.165$9.71$0.29
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? · Yes0.1440.308$8.98+$4.79
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.4200.435$8.94+$0.31
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.6030.535$8.86$1.13
Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4590.395$6.33$1.02
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs · RED Canids0.3700.405$6.08+$0.53
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7800.775$6.04$0.04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be 400,000 or more? · No0.8920.925$5.67+$0.20
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? · Yes0.6900.765$5.45+$0.53
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be less than 550,000? · No0.9500.945$4.72$0.03
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 600,000 and 650,000? · No0.9500.945$4.72$0.03
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C · Esport Academy Copenhagen0.7350.390$3.90$3.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 02:34M25 Guiyang: Zhenxiong Dong vs Matthew ShearerSELL0.7$1.01
09-16 02:34M25 Guiyang: Zhenxiong Dong vs Matthew ShearerSELL0.7$1.01
09-16 02:34M25 Guiyang: Zhenxiong Dong vs Matthew ShearerBUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-16 02:34M25 Guiyang: Zhenxiong Dong vs Matthew ShearerBUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-16 02:33Will Boyacá Chicó FC vs. Alianza FC end in a draw?SELL0.17$0.19
09-16 02:24Will Alianza FC win on 2026-08-06?SELL0.08$0.18
09-16 02:24Will Alianza FC win on 2026-08-06?SELL0.08$0.36
09-16 02:23Will Alianza FC win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.9$1.00
09-16 02:23Will Alianza FC win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.8699999586$1.89
09-16 02:23Will Alianza FC win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.8699999913$2.00
09-16 02:23Will Alianza FC win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-16 02:23Will Boyacá Chicó FC vs. Alianza FC end in a draw?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-16 01:54Will CR Brasil win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.9899993833$1.22
09-16 01:53Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?BUY0.8$1.00
09-16 01:53Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?BUY0.8$1.00