Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 40 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.52. down 0.07 over the period, from 0.59. Range 0.45 to 0.59. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.52	480	480
0.54	40	520
0.59	17	537
0.60	55	592
0.69	26	618
0.70	50	668
0.73	30	698
0.77	20	718
0.90	41	759
0.93	14	773
0.94	20	793
0.96	25	818

Spread0.01Mid0.52

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.51	480	480
0.50	171	651
0.36	19	671
0.35	23	693
0.34	55	748
0.29	50	798
0.27	100	898
0.26	5	903
0.24	30	933
0.21	500	1,433
0.20	449	1,883
0.19	111	1,994

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.49	480	480
0.50	171	651
0.64	19	671
0.65	23	693
0.66	55	748
0.71	50	798
0.73	100	898
0.74	5	903
0.76	30	933
0.79	500	1,433
0.80	449	1,883
0.81	111	1,994

Spread0.01Mid0.48

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.48	480	480
0.46	40	520
0.41	17	537
0.40	55	592
0.31	26	618
0.30	50	668
0.27	30	698
0.23	20	718
0.10	41	759
0.07	14	773
0.06	20	793
0.04	25	818

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
folioquant	Yes	1,797.87
vinii	Yes	1,174.02
0xdC83474BC4CDf4d037f8BE1EcA21cfa290aaBCD2-1772195983959	Yes	807.89
0x8bb1…b0c5	Yes	583.64
pragmat1sm	Yes	317
BAO95889	Yes	306.85
GuyFromTinder	Yes	214.86
Mithrandir.	Yes	100
eggsando	Yes	54
0x46e1…0b22	Yes	43.46
0x888888888	Yes	40
0xd45b…7ae6	Yes	40
Computerdude111	Yes	40
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	33.94
NeevS	Yes	20
zhili6648	Yes	20
memorymaker2049	Yes	20
toolFutziYoTin	Yes	15.34
0x2608…2fc7	Yes	12.75
oliman2	Yes	11.54

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:36:48	BUY	Yes	0.5013850416	307	$153.85
10:27:46	SELL	No	0.5	40	$20.00
03:50:39	SELL	No	0.5	50	$25.00
01:14:51	SELL	Yes	0.5	3	$1.42
01:14:48	SELL	Yes	0.5	93	$46.27
17:36:24	BUY	No	0.5	3	$1.50
14:27:06	SELL	Yes	0.5	7	$3.67
14:26:48	SELL	Yes	0.51	7	$3.74
14:26:46	SELL	Yes	0.52	240	$124.80
08:53:24	BUY	Yes	0.5499999598	4	$2.05
08:53:22	BUY	Yes	0.5317647059	85	$45.20
07:20:39	SELL	No	0.47	40	$18.80
05:37:03	BUY	No	0.44	5	$2.20
05:22:57	SELL	Yes	0.47	0	$0.01
05:22:55	BUY	Yes	0.47	5	$2.35
05:22:54	BUY	Yes	0.49	120	$58.80
05:11:28	BUY	Yes	0.48	40	$19.20
05:09:54	SELL	Yes	0.47	0	$0.04
05:09:52	SELL	Yes	0.47	5	$2.35
04:29:10	SELL	Yes	0.57	1	$0.38
04:29:09	SELL	Yes	0.55	40	$22.00
04:18:54	BUY	Yes	0.51	40	$20.40
04:18:40	BUY	Yes	0.55	5	$2.75
04:09:15	SELL	Yes	0.57	2	$0.93
04:09:13	SELL	Yes	0.57	64	$36.48