Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.71. up 0.26 over the period, from 0.45. Range 0.32 to 0.77. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.74	452	452
0.75	201	652
0.77	193	846
0.81	42	888
0.82	39	926
0.84	584	1,510
0.90	51	1,561
0.91	1,353	2,914
0.92	6	2,920
0.93	14	2,934
0.96	205	3,139
0.97	107	3,247

Spread0.05Mid0.71

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.69	35	35
0.68	50	85
0.67	159	245
0.61	66	311
0.60	12	322
0.58	162	484
0.57	100	584
0.56	5	589
0.54	134	723
0.53	200	923
0.51	100	1,023
0.42	190	1,213

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.31	35	35
0.32	50	85
0.33	159	245
0.39	66	311
0.40	12	322
0.42	162	484
0.43	100	584
0.44	5	589
0.46	134	723
0.47	200	923
0.49	100	1,023
0.58	190	1,213

Spread0.05Mid0.29

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.26	452	452
0.25	201	652
0.23	193	846
0.19	42	888
0.18	39	926
0.16	584	1,510
0.10	51	1,561
0.09	1,353	2,914
0.08	6	2,920
0.07	14	2,934
0.04	205	3,139
0.03	107	3,247

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x84828283773829	Yes	1,580.31
vinii	Yes	1,452.68
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes	629.37
0x8bb1…b0c5	Yes	583.64
spxtest	Yes	554
folioquant	Yes	542.44
mewmew1	Yes	394.54
0x8Df92602EC9c454E8099D9dc4A3F0d21DaA0468C-1766855317883	Yes	347.98
CRYPTUSPUBLIC	Yes	337.98
0xdC83474BC4CDf4d037f8BE1EcA21cfa290aaBCD2-1772195983959	Yes	241.17
0xb9d6…e672	Yes	168.98
ImbaB	Yes	168.92
Mithrandir.	Yes	100
whispercatalyst	Yes	76.33
hfv	Yes	71.5
101456	Yes	49.75
0xeaed…0770	Yes	47.62
0x46e1…0b22	Yes	43.46
omsode	Yes	40
0x31ad…4073	Yes	38.22

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:11:04	SELL	No	0.2807884005	22	$6.20
20:53:22	BUY	Yes	0.68	50	$34.00
20:53:22	BUY	Yes	0.7008974291	55	$38.50
20:53:21	BUY	Yes	0.69	50	$34.50
10:12:24	BUY	No	0.2592847692	280	$72.50
09:32:03	SELL	No	0.2363710719	465	$109.82
22:44:57	SELL	No	0.31	30	$9.37
17:06:36	BUY	Yes	0.6899996057	2	$1.05
17:06:36	SELL	Yes	0.66	0	$0.25
17:06:33	BUY	Yes	0.69	27	$18.63
17:06:33	SELL	No	0.3151617343	58	$18.32
17:06:33	BUY	Yes	0.6899999982	29	$19.67
10:48:45	SELL	No	0.3240243473	199	$64.41
10:48:45	BUY	Yes	0.683832	50	$34.19
09:16:45	BUY	No	0.33	50	$16.50
09:16:45	SELL	Yes	0.6848888889	225	$154.10
22:45:13	SELL	No	0.33	5	$1.65
22:44:54	SELL	No	0.31	16	$4.87
22:44:52	SELL	No	0.3131757668	1,001	$313.57
22:44:52	BUY	Yes	0.69	51	$35.19
22:44:52	BUY	Yes	0.69	50	$34.50
21:11:27	BUY	No	0.38	50	$19.00
21:11:25	BUY	No	0.33	150	$49.50
16:58:52	SELL	No	0.28	38	$10.76
16:47:04	BUY	Yes	0.69	12	$7.98