whispercatalyst
0x460a20d648c4601abfcd0c71ec37eb6dfd26d738
- Realised P&L
- $257.65
- Volume
- $2.01M
- Markets traded
- 2,589
- Open portfolio
- $33.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,589
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.110Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?
- +$2.6kat 0.324Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$2.0kat 0.564Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?
- +$1.4kat 0.410Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.559Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:16 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.25 |
| 09-17 04:12 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | SELL | 0.885 | $30.71 |
| 09-17 04:11 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 09-17 04:08 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | BUY | 0.7 | $52.60 |
| 09-17 04:07 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.4210569106 | $7.77 |
| 09-17 04:02 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.47 |
| 09-17 04:00 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 09-17 03:59 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 09-17 03:51 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.43 | $7.76 |
| 09-17 03:51 | Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 09-17 03:26 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | SELL | 0.58 | $3.43 |
| 09-17 03:19 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 09-17 02:37 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 02:32 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | SELL | 0.43 | $43.00 |