PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

whispercatalyst

0x460a20d648c4601abfcd0c71ec37eb6dfd26d738

Realised P&L
$257.65
Volume
$2.01M
Markets traded
2,589
Open portfolio
$33.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,589
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.7490.825$5.3k+$484.56
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? · Yes0.7200.690$1.8k$77.05
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.7500.675$1.6k$183.22
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3930.550$1.6k+$461.01
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? · No0.8070.925$1.4k+$180.83
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · No0.4570.445$1.1k$29.90
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5200.542$1.0k+$42.36
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · No0.6040.870$961.42+$294.41
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1080.111$790.11+$13.82
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? · Yes0.6690.874$745.11+$175.08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2180.235$684.00+$49.18
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1590.212$668.60+$168.96
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8330.978$655.41+$96.69
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.7610.755$639.83$4.98
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? · No0.9430.949$564.28+$3.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:16Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?BUY0.15$5.25
09-17 04:12Will Drake release a new album by September 30?SELL0.885$30.71
09-17 04:11Will Drake release a new album by September 30?SELL0.87$8.70
09-17 04:08Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?BUY0.7$52.60
09-17 04:07Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.4210569106$7.77
09-17 04:02Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.42$1.47
09-17 04:00Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.44$22.00
09-17 03:59Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.24$2.40
09-17 03:51Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.43$7.76
09-17 03:51Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?SELL0.63$12.60
09-17 03:36Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.43$8.60
09-17 03:26Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?SELL0.58$3.43
09-17 03:19Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.08$3.20
09-17 02:37Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?SELL0.3$1.50
09-17 02:32Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?SELL0.43$43.00