spxtest
0xc808e7855e3ff6baebcfe9aec6965d86eafefffe
- Realised P&L
- $-281.09
- Volume
- $292.9k
- Markets traded
- 709
- Open portfolio
- $854.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded709
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$530.51at 0.923US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$439.43at 0.052Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?
- +$349.26at 0.060Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?
- +$341.31at 0.822Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?
- +$169.45at 0.090Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 07:20 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.9641089655 | $139.80 |
| 09-20 06:54 | Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 20? | BUY | 0.9533333333 | $171.60 |
| 09-20 05:27 | Will the announcers say "What a Catch" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? | SELL | 0.79 | $379.20 |
| 09-20 05:27 | Will the announcers say "One Handed" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? | SELL | 0.85 | $255.00 |
| 09-20 05:24 | Will the announcers say "Safety" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.77 |
| 09-20 01:37 | Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 20? | BUY | 0.95 | $105.45 |
| 09-19 22:40 | Will the announcers say "What a Catch" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? | SELL | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 09-19 22:40 | Will the announcers say "One Handed" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? | SELL | 0.85 | $7.31 |
| 09-19 22:39 | Will the announcers say "One Handed" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? | SELL | 0.85 | $8.55 |
| 09-19 22:35 | Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? | SELL | 0.0852767719 | $8.24 |
| 09-19 22:32 | Will the announcers say "What a Catch" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? | BUY | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 09-19 15:17 | Will the announcers say "What a Catch" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.90 |
| 09-19 13:16 | Will the announcers say "Trade" or "Traded" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 09-19 10:17 | Will the announcers say "Turf" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? | BUY | 0.35 | $5.97 |
| 09-19 10:17 | Will the announcers say "Turf" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? | BUY | 0.3716887417 | $112.25 |