0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876
0x2b670a311561dcaf741d8155451774d3fa7fb814
- Realised P&L
- $24.7k
- Volume
- $4.54M
- Markets traded
- 403
- Open portfolio
- $44.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded403
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.1kat 0.093US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$10.7kat 0.116Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
- +$9.5kat 0.016Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$6.9kat 0.337US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.1kat 0.430US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 11-01 17:58 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $177.20 |
| 11-01 16:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.3386702128 | $203.74 |
| 11-01 16:14 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.3271428571 | $22.90 |
| 11-01 03:04 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.009 | $14.81 |
| 10-30 14:33 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.046 | $233.15 |
| 10-30 12:01 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0522071504 | $62.06 |
| 10-27 21:18 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.061 | $0.93 |
| 10-26 13:24 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.4116505098 | $295.12 |
| 10-26 13:12 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | BUY | 0.7474672489 | $8.56 |
| 10-26 13:09 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | BUY | 0.7599550225 | $30.41 |
| 10-26 13:09 | Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | BUY | 0.6570998901 | $65.78 |
| 10-26 01:54 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0019037179 | $10.53 |
| 10-26 01:27 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1364159877 | $195.05 |
| 10-26 00:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $69.85 |