PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hfv

0xe102b1da4367d827b48c47ea91fadf6997ff71df

Realised P&L
$-18.5k
Volume
$1.18M
Markets traded
1,339
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,339
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.998$4.0k+$2.0k
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? · No0.4940.390$164.42−$44.11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27? · No0.7800.755$80.72−$2.67
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 26? · No0.9200.930$77.55+$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on September 26? · No0.8800.985$52.66+$5.61
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 26? · No0.6300.665$46.66+$2.46
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 26? · No0.8800.740$44.86−$8.49
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26? · Yes0.5200.625$43.01+$7.22
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 27? · No0.9200.925$38.95+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 27? · No0.8450.835$38.17−$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 27? · No0.9100.890$36.02−$0.81
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 26? · Yes0.4300.520$34.06+$5.89
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 27? · No0.9100.930$32.71+$0.70
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on September 27? · No0.8600.870$32.69+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 27? · Yes0.3200.390$31.59+$5.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 16:21Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?BUY0.25$24.18
09-26 15:03Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?BUY0.2043700652$59.53
09-26 14:52Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.15$224.31
09-26 14:41Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?BUY0.4390281746$132.14
09-26 13:47Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2240206799$48.96
09-26 13:38Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.886$18.40
09-26 13:25China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.72$145.62
09-26 13:20Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?BUY0.28$24.60
09-26 13:20Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?BUY0.27$51.53
09-26 13:11No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?BUY0.21$6.80
09-26 12:47Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.308731329$64.49
09-26 11:51Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.6655825138$309.99
09-26 11:49Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.6746364075$475.93
09-26 11:49Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.69$20.70
09-26 11:41Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?BUY0.18$19.44