0xeaed46a79d3d7128a9384bfa1df2b2056e4f0770
0xeaed46a79d3d7128a9384bfa1df2b2056e4f0770
- Realised P&L
- $15.23
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $564.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.06at 0.741Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$13.03at 0.747Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$9.59at 0.211Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$9.08at 0.757Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
- +$8.76at 0.715Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:17 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9809999922 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 20:17 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999834 | $40.00 |
| 10-31 19:31 | Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | SELL | 0.8 | $31.66 |
| 10-31 17:23 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $31.15 |
| 10-31 13:27 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.0959999998 | $16.60 |
| 10-31 13:14 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.70 |
| 10-31 13:10 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.0979999994 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 12:55 | Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.931301519 | $40.00 |
| 10-31 12:03 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1989999972 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 11:50 | Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | SELL | 0.8 | $16.71 |
| 10-31 07:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $35.05 |
| 10-31 00:50 | Nawrocki out by December 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.34 |
| 10-31 00:48 | Nawrocki out by December 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.64 |
| 10-31 00:46 | Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9131513622 | $40.00 |
| 10-31 00:46 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $40.00 |