vinii
0x1ee9a5fc09665909c0cce297c581703bfbb9197f
- Realised P&L
- $140.3k
- Volume
- $6.24M
- Markets traded
- 6,343
- Open portfolio
- $91.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,343
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$3.6kat 0.001Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?
- +$2.6kat 0.004Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?
- +$2.2kat 0.825Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.208Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:12 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BUY | 0.871 | $5.44 |
| 09-17 06:11 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 06:02 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $126.00 |
| 09-17 05:46 | Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 143 and 147 seats after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.60 |
| 09-17 05:46 | Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 148 and 152 seats after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.063416129 | $7.86 |
| 09-17 05:45 | Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 153 and 157 seats after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.0579507279 | $6.21 |
| 09-17 05:45 | Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have 163 or more seats after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.4549367546 | $12.59 |
| 09-17 05:45 | Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have 163 or more seats after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.3138906381 | $97.70 |
| 09-17 05:42 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BUY | 0.119127789 | $46.61 |
| 09-17 05:32 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BUY | 0.8600157698 | $261.77 |
| 09-17 05:26 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BUY | 0.098 | $0.20 |
| 09-17 05:26 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BUY | 0.1071428571 | $37.50 |
| 09-17 05:20 | Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.921897988 | $163.12 |
| 09-17 05:05 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 05:04 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BUY | 0.8737392742 | $340.92 |