omsode
0x82bd44e1ab121f4ae56a411419e8041dbb28335e
- Realised P&L
- $281.36
- Volume
- $84.0k
- Markets traded
- 243
- Open portfolio
- $6.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded243
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.249Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$589.32at 0.418Paris curfew by October 21?
- +$502.05at 0.565Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$499.22at 0.217Will Gracinha Caiado win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?
- +$472.10at 0.314Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 21:22 | Will AP call US House control by November 4, 11:59 PM? | SELL | 0.211980198 | $21.41 |
| 10-28 13:40 | Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.21 | $8.19 |
| 10-28 13:40 | Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.69 | $26.91 |
| 10-28 10:10 | Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.68 | $12.24 |
| 10-28 10:10 | Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.26 | $4.68 |
| 10-28 10:09 | Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 10-28 10:09 | Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.69 | $8.28 |
| 10-28 10:09 | Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.25 |
| 10-28 10:09 | Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.69 | $20.01 |
| 10-28 06:12 | Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.798 | $15.96 |
| 10-28 06:12 | Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 10-28 05:54 | Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.798 | $31.92 |
| 10-28 05:54 | Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 10-28 05:10 | Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 10-28 05:10 | Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.778 | $15.56 |