PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CryptoBizzi2

0xe38ee6bef3ea40daac3e3adc2fca23ba456850c8

Realised P&L
$-6.8k
Volume
$720.7k
Markets traded
310
Open portfolio
$16.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded310
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8930.967$5.2k+$397.61
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6740.725$3.9k+$271.94
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7090.655$2.0k$168.27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.7300.875$1.4k+$235.26
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7130.880$1.1k+$217.01
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7250.763$1.0k+$50.73
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes0.1430.110$589.53$176.03
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6330.580$548.82$49.92
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1400.081$142.49$105.81
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2100.155$52.69$18.70
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0190.018$36.75$3.75
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.1240.055$34.16$42.84
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0120.004$12.60$22.20
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0450.030$10.68$5.08
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? · No0.6200.000$0.00$155.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:12Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?SELL0.999$2.1k
09-13 07:51Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6548400023$80.00
09-12 07:30Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6313605442$92.81
09-10 20:20Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.016$19.47
09-10 06:37Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0246497848$30.00
09-10 05:47Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.1287028477$26.39
09-08 08:21Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.1006560307$311.20
09-05 18:55Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.113206044$350.00
09-05 18:44Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.850500875$3.4k
09-05 08:43Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.2438009927$50.00
09-03 05:45Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?SELL0.9485033894$226.67
09-02 17:25Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)BUY0.6318639925$100.00
09-02 17:05Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?BUY0.4525094168$100.00
09-01 15:10Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?SELL0.82$4.59
08-28 10:00Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.2780777143$97.33