CryptoBizzi2
0xe38ee6bef3ea40daac3e3adc2fca23ba456850c8
- Realised P&L
- $-6.8k
- Volume
- $720.7k
- Markets traded
- 310
- Open portfolio
- $16.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded310
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.821Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.655 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.690Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.732Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.398Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:12 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.1k |
| 09-13 07:51 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6548400023 | $80.00 |
| 09-12 07:30 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6313605442 | $92.81 |
| 09-10 20:20 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $19.47 |
| 09-10 06:37 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0246497848 | $30.00 |
| 09-10 05:47 | Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.1287028477 | $26.39 |
| 09-08 08:21 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.1006560307 | $311.20 |
| 09-05 18:55 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.113206044 | $350.00 |
| 09-05 18:44 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.850500875 | $3.4k |
| 09-05 08:43 | Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2438009927 | $50.00 |
| 09-03 05:45 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.9485033894 | $226.67 |
| 09-02 17:25 | Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena) | BUY | 0.6318639925 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 17:05 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4525094168 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 15:10 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $4.59 |
| 08-28 10:00 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2780777143 | $97.33 |