PolyBot

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Traders

0xdC83474BC4CDf4d037f8BE1EcA21cfa290aaBCD2-1772195983959

0xdc83474bc4cdf4d037f8be1eca21cfa290aabcd2

Realised P&L
$6.6k
Volume
$559.0k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$13.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9440.970$3.5k+$90.82
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8970.961$2.3k+$151.63
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.9880.992$1.9k+$6.54
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9280.900$1.0k$31.90
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · No0.9280.939$839.68+$9.08
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.967$818.68+$56.33
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · No0.9600.973$815.77+$10.90
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? · No0.8450.735$735.00$110.00
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · No0.5370.535$440.16$1.90
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes0.5790.515$416.06$51.39
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? · Yes0.6130.205$286.25$570.01
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.3410.205$273.83$181.87
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.7550.920$186.93+$33.51
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes0.4500.395$164.46$22.90
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7600.465$46.50$29.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 11:41Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5570837131$213.95
09-15 22:36Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.933$302.95
09-15 22:35Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.9439492406$377.88
09-15 22:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.988$1.8k
09-15 22:32Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.967394$967.39
09-15 22:32Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.9637128003$1.5k
09-15 22:31Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.52$228.11
09-13 21:57Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.9257017544$527.65
09-11 08:12Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?SELL0.26$40.01
09-11 07:13Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?SELL0.3178723404$29.88
09-11 07:12Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.4258648979$128.73
09-10 22:43Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.37$4.81
09-10 22:22Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?BUY0.389375$124.60
09-10 22:22Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.3268923418$147.26
09-10 20:52Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.2842857143$19.90