0xdC83474BC4CDf4d037f8BE1EcA21cfa290aaBCD2-1772195983959
0xdc83474bc4cdf4d037f8be1eca21cfa290aabcd2
- Realised P&L
- $6.6k
- Volume
- $559.0k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $13.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.893US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.745US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.929Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.909US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.972 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:41 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5570837131 | $213.95 |
| 09-15 22:36 | Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.933 | $302.95 |
| 09-15 22:35 | Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9439492406 | $377.88 |
| 09-15 22:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.8k |
| 09-15 22:32 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.967394 | $967.39 |
| 09-15 22:32 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9637128003 | $1.5k |
| 09-15 22:31 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $228.11 |
| 09-13 21:57 | Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.9257017544 | $527.65 |
| 09-11 08:12 | Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $40.01 |
| 09-11 07:13 | Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? | SELL | 0.3178723404 | $29.88 |
| 09-11 07:12 | Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.4258648979 | $128.73 |
| 09-10 22:43 | Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $4.81 |
| 09-10 22:22 | Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? | BUY | 0.389375 | $124.60 |
| 09-10 22:22 | Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.3268923418 | $147.26 |
| 09-10 20:52 | Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.2842857143 | $19.90 |