PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x46e1ce66be9d738a8eb8aefa9005c892dfdf0b22

Realised P&L
$-75.51
Volume
$676.33
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$120.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3000.165$54.71$44.77
SSI public model released by September 30, 2026? · No0.7140.905$33.92+$7.18
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes0.6620.515$22.38$6.39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.7100.715$6.04+$0.04
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.6700.885$3.58+$0.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 05:24Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.6699998541$2.71
09-08 05:23Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?BUY0.2999999894$2.84
09-08 05:22Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?BUY0.5499999955$18.33
09-08 05:21Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?BUY0.7$25.90
09-03 07:38Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.7099999846$6.00
09-02 18:44Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.6999999933$20.77
09-02 06:08SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.75$28.11
08-14 15:17Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.5799999884$8.00
08-14 15:15SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6899999952$40.00
08-14 15:15SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8999999892$50.00
07-23 16:27Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3$99.48