CRYPTUSPUBLIC
0x99331b51efdbbcb6e7473efa798feb09670ae951
- Realised P&L
- $-568.79
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $626.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes | 0.465 | 0.720 | $243.35 | +$86.23 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.845 | $131.41 | +$14.75 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher? · Yes | 0.722 | 0.870 | $114.84 | +$19.52 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.412 | 0.335 | $51.92 | −$11.87 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.365 | $36.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.345 | $27.60 | +$0.40 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.407 | $20.38 | −$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.70at 0.554Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$16.00at 0.280Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$7.00at 0.720Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?
- +$3.58at 0.276Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$3.49at 0.850Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:56 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.2626830393 | $22.78 |
| 10-29 17:56 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $30.01 |
| 10-29 17:56 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.71 | $34.44 |
| 10-29 17:56 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher? | SELL | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 10-29 17:56 | Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher? | SELL | 0.8 | $6.40 |
| 10-29 17:56 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.8981617647 | $179.56 |
| 10-29 17:56 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $39.55 |
| 10-29 17:55 | Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.55375 | $44.30 |
| 10-29 08:21 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $2.49 |
| 10-27 21:05 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.14 | $14.73 |
| 10-27 20:51 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.98 |
| 10-27 20:40 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.15 | $24.00 |
| 10-27 16:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.2615865 | $52.32 |
| 10-25 16:21 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.416438186 | $449.22 |
| 10-25 10:30 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $100.00 |