PolyBot

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Traders

0x31ad2c014a49617cf03edba4dff33843f6104073

0x31ad2c014a49617cf03edba4dff33843f6104073

Realised P&L
$-530.57
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$314.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-19.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration88.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:56Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.36$36.00
10-29 08:21Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.012$0.87
10-28 17:18Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher?BUY0.79$3.35
10-27 21:05Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.14$3.13
10-27 20:51Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.19$4.25
10-27 20:40Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.15$3.85
10-27 16:59Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?SELL0.2642291927$14.83
10-26 20:03Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.011$3.00
10-25 16:21Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.438$15.75
10-24 07:39Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.31$18.60
10-23 07:38Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.44$19.00
10-22 22:02Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.4$2.40
10-22 22:01Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.17$6.46
10-22 22:00Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.11$11.66
10-22 22:00Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?BUY0.54$9.18