101456
0x8de0771af4eb2785fe64eab139399abd30bd7f22
- Realised P&L
- $10.2k
- Volume
- $351.8k
- Markets traded
- 282
- Open portfolio
- $44.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded282
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.330US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.4kat 0.342Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
- +$1.4kat 0.742Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- +$1.4kat 0.060Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
- +$1.2kat 0.624Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 16:18 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3526152493 | $148.31 |
| 08-12 10:56 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.79 | $129.50 |
| 08-05 02:15 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | SELL | 0.5020783108 | $122.46 |
| 07-31 19:48 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $513.57 |
| 07-01 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.03 |
| 06-30 21:36 | France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 06-27 16:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.971 | $4.85 |
| 06-27 16:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.972 | $4.86 |
| 06-27 15:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.966 | $4.83 |
| 06-27 15:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.967 | $4.83 |
| 06-27 15:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.966 | $4.83 |
| 06-27 15:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.967 | $4.83 |
| 06-26 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 06-26 12:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.101 | $1.01 |
| 06-26 12:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.102 | $1.02 |