Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Resolves by
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.021 | 136 | 136 |
| 0.022 | 200 | 336 |
| 0.028 | 1,231 | 1,567 |
| 0.029 | 2,744 | 4,311 |
| 0.030 | 2,062 | 6,373 |
| 0.031 | 826 | 7,199 |
| 0.040 | 20 | 7,219 |
| 0.041 | 209 | 7,427 |
| 0.042 | 480 | 7,907 |
| 0.043 | 7,000 | 14,907 |
| 0.389 | 5 | 14,912 |
| 0.390 | 2,000 | 16,912 |
Spread0.012Mid0.015
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.009 | 137 | 137 |
| 0.008 | 220 | 357 |
| 0.007 | 2,237 | 2,594 |
| 0.006 | 2,191 | 4,785 |
| 0.004 | 29 | 4,815 |
| 0.003 | 1,469 | 6,284 |
| 0.002 | 3,545 | 9,829 |
| 0.001 | 60,952 | 70,781 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.991 | 137 | 137 |
| 0.992 | 220 | 357 |
| 0.993 | 2,237 | 2,594 |
| 0.994 | 2,191 | 4,785 |
| 0.996 | 29 | 4,815 |
| 0.997 | 1,469 | 6,284 |
| 0.998 | 3,545 | 9,829 |
| 0.999 | 60,952 | 70,781 |
Spread0.012Mid0.985
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.979 | 136 | 136 |
| 0.978 | 200 | 336 |
| 0.972 | 1,231 | 1,567 |
| 0.971 | 2,744 | 4,311 |
| 0.970 | 2,062 | 6,373 |
| 0.969 | 826 | 7,199 |
| 0.960 | 20 | 7,219 |
| 0.959 | 209 | 7,427 |
| 0.958 | 480 | 7,907 |
| 0.957 | 7,000 | 14,907 |
| 0.611 | 5 | 14,912 |
| 0.610 | 2,000 | 16,912 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Joebama | Yes | 8,675.34 |
| whumpa | Yes | 772.84 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 405.06 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 295.97 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 157.63 |
| IlIlllIIIIllllIlIlllllIlIIIllllI | Yes | 150.23 |
| omsode | Yes | 130 |
| carlosssss | Yes | 127.93 |
| PerformSleepState | Yes | 113.15 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 100 |
| if-then-else | Yes | 99.99 |
| uniloktij | Yes | 69.44 |
| Babs1337 | Yes | 60 |
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | Yes | 59 |
| cabbag | Yes | 56.81 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 52.38 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 51.83 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 50 |
| poliknomi | Yes | 42.31 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 41.2 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:37:49 | SELL | No | 0.98 | 710 | $695.87 |
| 04:03:24 | SELL | Yes | 0.009 | 4 | $0.04 |
| 03:37:19 | SELL | Yes | 0.014 | 4 | $0.06 |
| 20:24:37 | BUY | Yes | 0.014 | 5 | $0.07 |
| 17:41:01 | BUY | Yes | 0.0131681943 | 113 | $1.49 |
| 17:40:08 | BUY | Yes | 0.013 | 30 | $0.39 |
| 15:41:38 | SELL | No | 0.987 | 3,300 | $3257.22 |
| 14:46:20 | SELL | No | 0.987 | 5 | $4.93 |
| 20:36:35 | SELL | No | 0.987 | 10 | $9.87 |
| 16:32:29 | SELL | No | 0.987 | 3 | $3.15 |
| 16:32:24 | SELL | No | 0.987 | 1,031 | $1017.51 |
| 16:19:44 | SELL | Yes | 0.009 | 76 | $0.68 |
| 16:19:42 | SELL | Yes | 0.01 | 76 | $0.76 |
| 16:19:33 | SELL | No | 0.987 | 5 | $4.93 |
| 16:19:30 | BUY | No | 0.99 | 20 | $19.80 |
| 16:19:29 | SELL | No | 0.987 | 1 | $0.74 |
| 16:19:27 | SELL | Yes | 0.01 | 100 | $1.00 |
| 16:19:26 | SELL | Yes | 0.0132808638 | 641 | $8.51 |
| 16:19:24 | BUY | No | 0.988 | 24 | $23.71 |
| 05:38:50 | SELL | No | 0.98 | 10 | $9.85 |
| 18:24:48 | SELL | No | 0.98 | 12 | $12.00 |
| 05:09:47 | SELL | No | 0.98 | 9 | $8.45 |
| 14:33:59 | SELL | No | 0.98 | 5 | $5.29 |
| 14:33:51 | SELL | No | 0.98 | 5 | $5.29 |
| 14:33:47 | BUY | Yes | 0.02 | 1,000 | $20.00 |