PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.013. down 0.021 over the period, from 0.034. Range 0.013 to 0.034. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0137777
0.014170247
0.017550797
0.0191,0711,868
0.0203042,172
0.0234542,625
0.027252,650
0.028432,693
0.0323603,053
0.0332073,260
0.03453,265
0.0372,0005,265

Spread0.001Mid0.013

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.012233233
0.0119711,204
0.0101901,394
0.0076,3267,720
0.0069538,673
0.0051,2209,893
0.0043,40013,293
0.0034,75518,048
0.0024,28022,328
0.00174,01196,339

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.988233233
0.9899711,204
0.9901901,394
0.9936,3267,720
0.9949538,673
0.9951,2209,893
0.9963,40013,293
0.9974,75518,048
0.9984,28022,328
0.99974,01196,339

Spread0.001Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9877777
0.986170247
0.983550797
0.9811,0711,868
0.9803042,172
0.9774542,625
0.973252,650
0.972432,693
0.9683603,053
0.9672073,260
0.96653,265
0.9632,0005,265

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
JoebamaYes8,675.34
RazvanelManYes5,119.97
whumpaYes772.84
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes360
Dr.PNLYes222.57
IlIlllIIIIllllIlIlllllIlIIIllllIYes200
LornaPredictsYes157.63
carlosssssYes127.93
0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710Yes103.4
if-then-elseYes99.99
thecaricatureYes60
Babs1337Yes60
BikesarethebestYes59
2B9SYes50
a5533Yes49.99
AJSVYes47.83
poliknomiYes42.31
LavinceyYes41.2
0xb651…2089Yes30.01
plafa.-9Yes26.61

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:19:48SELLYes0.01320$0.26
21:19:09SELLYes0.01220$0.24
21:19:07SELLYes0.012240$2.88
21:19:06SELLYes0.0129960311650$8.45
17:22:19SELLYes0.013101$1.31
15:11:51SELLNo0.9825$4.97
15:11:23BUYNo0.98699983045$5.00
07:05:00BUYYes0.0179999999101$1.81
01:04:31SELLNo0.98232$31.42
18:16:03SELLNo0.98291$89.36
15:51:48SELLYes0.01720$0.34
12:12:25SELLNo0.9821$0.98
11:49:58SELLNo0.98280$78.56
11:21:28BUYYes0.02120$0.42
16:56:39SELLNo0.9785$4.97
16:56:18BUYNo0.9845$5.00
15:00:18SELLNo0.97940$39.16
15:34:28SELLYes0.01650$0.80
05:27:03SELLYes0.014580$1.16
04:20:39SELLNo0.98260$58.92
04:17:24SELLYes0.01240$0.48
04:17:21SELLYes0.01220$0.24
04:17:18SELLYes0.01240$0.48
04:17:12SELLYes0.01230$0.36
04:17:09SELLYes0.01240$0.48