cabbag
0x2af14a4847c3c9e644963e0b696eabf1d15dd858
- Realised P&L
- $196.53
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$812.77at 0.047Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$239.05at 0.167Jazz vs. Cavaliers
- +$120.00at 0.227Rockets vs. Hornets
- +$91.00at 0.090Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
- +$69.00at 0.310Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:27 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 11-01 15:58 | Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.73 |
| 11-01 12:49 | Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 11-01 12:49 | Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 11-01 08:57 | Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 11-01 07:24 | Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.00 |
| 11-01 03:39 | Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | SELL | 0.52 | $46.78 |
| 10-31 21:51 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.896 | $89.60 |
| 10-31 21:43 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 10-31 20:29 | Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 10-31 20:29 | Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 10-31 19:39 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 12% or more? | BUY | 0.9309999981 | $22.34 |
| 10-31 19:25 | Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | SELL | 0.39 | $8.09 |
| 10-31 19:24 | Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.32 |
| 10-31 16:21 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.20 |