PolyBot

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Traders

cabbag

0x2af14a4847c3c9e644963e0b696eabf1d15dd858

Realised P&L
$196.53
Volume
$31.3k
Markets traded
302
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded302
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:27Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?BUY0.78$78.00
11-01 15:58Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?SELL0.3$6.73
11-01 12:49Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?SELL0.88$44.00
11-01 12:49Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?SELL0.88$44.00
11-01 08:57Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?BUY0.79$79.00
11-01 07:24Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?BUY0.24$6.00
11-01 03:39Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?SELL0.52$46.78
10-31 21:51No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?BUY0.896$89.60
10-31 21:43Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?BUY0.89$89.00
10-31 20:29Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?SELL0.45$9.00
10-31 20:29Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?SELL0.43$4.30
10-31 19:39Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 12% or more?BUY0.9309999981$22.34
10-31 19:25Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?SELL0.39$8.09
10-31 19:24Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?SELL0.39$1.32
10-31 16:21Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.2$2.20