PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PerformSleepState

0xbdad67aca6283e77c982e2eff2e1c8a5bbd83ef7

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$54.2k
Markets traded
909
Open portfolio
$625.56

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded909
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? · No0.5600.980$110.54+$47.38
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October? · No0.9500.987$103.96+$3.90
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5520.685$85.66+$16.62
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026? · No0.2500.395$49.52+$18.18
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30? · Yes0.8860.705$49.36−$12.70
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by October 31? · No0.9690.982$25.18+$0.31
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $29.5B by October 31? · No0.7600.981$19.61+$4.42
Will Luther Burden III have 424.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5700.855$17.10+$5.70
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026? · No0.7500.915$15.57+$2.81
Will Ladd McConkey have 1,049.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7500.705$14.10−$0.90
Will Drake Maye have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5400.500$10.01−$0.80
Will Drake Maye have 29.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.2900.465$9.30+$3.50
Will Makai Lemon have 1,049.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5230.898$8.98+$3.75
Will Garrett Wilson have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4500.535$7.87+$1.25
Will Luther Burden III have 624.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.2600.350$7.01+$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:42Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027?SELL0.31$9.81
11-01 22:42Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026?SELL0.74$23.42
11-01 22:40Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7$5.60
11-01 22:40Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027?SELL0.33$2.64
11-01 19:39Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027?SELL0.32$17.28
11-01 19:39Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026?SELL0.71$38.34
11-01 17:34Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026?SELL0.73$3.65
11-01 17:34Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027?SELL0.3$1.50
11-01 17:33Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027?SELL0.3$3.30
11-01 17:33Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026?SELL0.73$8.03
11-01 12:43Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5521165031$69.04
11-01 12:43Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026?BUY0.25$31.34
11-01 10:52Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026?SELL0.49$8.30
11-01 09:05Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027?BUY0.4407022344$48.32
11-01 09:05Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3499999992$46.03