PerformSleepState
0xbdad67aca6283e77c982e2eff2e1c8a5bbd83ef7
- Realised P&L
- $76.81
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 305
- Open portfolio
- $148.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded305
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.73at 0.521Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?
- +$14.66at 0.542Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?
- +$13.12at 0.580Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by July 31?
- +$11.93at 0.500IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
- +$11.56at 0.549Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:44 | Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16B by August 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.33 |
| 08-02 16:44 | Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by August 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $26.36 |
| 08-02 14:36 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in August? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.90 |
| 08-02 14:35 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in August? | BUY | 0.89 | $10.04 |
| 08-02 13:25 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $84 in August? | BUY | 0.889 | $2.66 |
| 08-02 09:48 | Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by August 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.81 |
| 08-02 09:47 | Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by August 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.01 |
| 08-02 05:03 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.21 |
| 08-02 04:37 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by August 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $8.69 |
| 08-02 04:37 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by August 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.98 |
| 08-01 22:59 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 in August? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.38 |
| 08-01 22:58 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 in August? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 08-01 22:58 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 in August? | SELL | 0.99 | $43.72 |
| 08-01 20:07 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August? | BUY | 0.9099999986 | $39.25 |
| 08-01 20:07 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August? | BUY | 0.0599999792 | $2.59 |