PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PerformSleepState

0xbdad67aca6283e77c982e2eff2e1c8a5bbd83ef7

Realised P&L
$76.81
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
305
Open portfolio
$148.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded305
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August? · No0.9100.954$41.15+$1.90
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by August 31? · No0.6400.610$25.12$1.24
Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.5680.635$18.88+$1.98
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by August 31? · No0.8750.770$16.73$2.27
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3570.315$9.36$1.28
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16B by August 31? · Yes0.2500.225$9.30$1.03
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by August 31? · No0.7900.820$9.02+$0.33
Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3320.450$3.23+$0.85
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August? · Yes0.0600.070$3.00+$0.41
Will Jio Platforms IPO by August 31, 2026? · No0.7200.827$2.96+$0.38
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $84 in August? · No0.8890.933$2.79+$0.13
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026? · No0.4000.910$2.16+$1.21
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? · No0.7500.974$1.57+$0.36
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by August 31? · Yes0.1800.130$1.43$0.55
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $120B by August 31? · Yes0.1040.036$0.79$1.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:44Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16B by August 31?BUY0.25$10.33
08-02 16:44Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by August 31?BUY0.64$26.36
08-02 14:36Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in August?SELL0.7$7.90
08-02 14:35Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in August?BUY0.89$10.04
08-02 13:25Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $84 in August?BUY0.889$2.66
08-02 09:48Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by August 31?SELL0.09$1.81
08-02 09:47Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by August 31?BUY0.1$2.01
08-02 05:03Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?BUY0.75$1.21
08-02 04:37Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by August 31?BUY0.79$8.69
08-02 04:37Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by August 31?BUY0.18$1.98
08-01 22:59Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 in August?SELL0.04$1.38
08-01 22:58Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 in August?SELL0.05$0.50
08-01 22:58Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 in August?SELL0.99$43.72
08-01 20:07Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?BUY0.9099999986$39.25
08-01 20:07Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August?BUY0.0599999792$2.59