PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

poliknomi

0x477d1ff1b2a3b61c67803e024b3c0140f81955a9

Realised P&L
$-66.21
Volume
$196.1k
Markets traded
751
Open portfolio
$112.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded751
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · No0.4530.655$62.58+$19.29
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? · No0.8080.915$16.01+$1.86
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? · Yes0.2980.185$15.64−$9.58
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2850.025$8.56−$87.12
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? · Yes0.1100.043$2.55−$4.05
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · Yes0.0750.034$2.01−$2.49
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.4960.019$1.65−$41.54
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.1000.021$1.23−$4.77
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? · Yes0.6500.090$0.86−$5.34
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.7820.019$0.82−$32.80
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.2520.015$0.63−$10.03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.6260.075$0.15−$1.09
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1350.000$0.00−$15.14
Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1570.000$0.00−$21.30
Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.2400.000$0.00−$3.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 14:38Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.06$4.77
06-25 10:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.066$2.51
06-25 10:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.066$2.99
06-25 10:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.064$1.28
06-25 09:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.058$0.60
06-25 07:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.051$7.90
06-25 07:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.48$15.36
06-05 14:48Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.5$15.98
06-02 12:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.4$6.00
06-02 12:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.21$7.35
06-02 09:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.21$7.35
06-02 09:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.4$10.00
06-01 16:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY0.038$1.52
06-01 15:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.39$15.60
06-01 15:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.18$10.80