PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

poliknomi

0x477d1ff1b2a3b61c67803e024b3c0140f81955a9

Realised P&L
$-224.89
Volume
$196.1k
Markets traded
751
Open portfolio
$124.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded751
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · No0.4530.530$50.63+$7.35
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.5000.325$19.55$10.52
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2850.045$15.10$80.58
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? · Yes0.2980.140$11.84$13.38
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? · No0.8080.670$11.72$2.42
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.1000.050$3.00$3.00
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · Yes0.0750.048$2.88$1.62
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? · Yes0.1100.042$2.52$4.08
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.4960.026$2.26$40.93
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.7820.042$1.78$31.84
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.2520.038$1.63$9.04
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? · Yes0.6500.080$0.76$5.44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.6260.225$0.45$0.79
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1350.000$0.00$15.14
Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1570.000$0.00$21.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 14:38Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.06$4.77
06-25 10:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.066$2.51
06-25 10:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.066$2.99
06-25 10:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.064$1.28
06-25 09:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.058$0.60
06-25 07:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.051$7.90
06-25 07:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.48$15.36
06-05 14:48Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.5$15.98
06-02 12:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.4$6.00
06-02 12:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.21$7.35
06-02 09:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.21$7.35
06-02 09:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.4$10.00
06-01 16:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY0.038$1.52
06-01 15:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.39$15.60
06-01 15:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.18$10.80