carlosssss
0x6d46210b28d696b9249b7599ab50c331ba4fc50c
- Realised P&L
- $-45.33
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.258 | 0.015 | $1.98 | −$31.02 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.60 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.47 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.14at 0.370Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-15 12:21 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | BUY | 0.2579514777 | $33.00 |
| 12-07 11:57 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 18:12 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0375706877 | $3.47 |
| 06-09 18:11 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.3699999835 | $13.00 |
| 06-09 18:11 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 18:11 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.015 | $3.00 |
| 06-09 18:10 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 18:10 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 06-09 18:03 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0219999962 | $5.60 |
| 05-07 14:53 | Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 14:46 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0189999963 | $5.00 |