Lavincey
0x1cdd071bb612de6d66d0c882b676c663697de595
- Realised P&L
- $61.9k
- Volume
- $36.36M
- Markets traded
- 101,076
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded101,076
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.5kat 0.012Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$12.9kat 0.020Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$10.4kat 0.115Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$10.4kat 0.003US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$10.2kat 0.011Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 01:14 | Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 01:14 | Will Moe Comuzzi win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 01:14 | Will the Democratic Party win the SC-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.034 | $1.02 |
| 10-22 01:14 | Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.0253219512 | $1.04 |
| 10-22 01:14 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | SELL | 0.0259380488 | $1.06 |
| 10-22 01:14 | Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 10-22 01:14 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.018 | $1.08 |
| 10-22 01:14 | Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | SELL | 0.018 | $1.08 |
| 10-22 01:14 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.037 | $1.11 |
| 10-22 01:14 | Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $1.11 |
| 10-22 01:14 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.037 | $1.11 |
| 10-22 01:14 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $1.12 |
| 10-22 01:14 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 35%-40%? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 10-22 01:14 | Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.0387586207 | $1.12 |
| 10-22 01:14 | Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.14 |