PolyBot

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Traders

Lavincey

0x1cdd071bb612de6d66d0c882b676c663697de595

Realised P&L
$63.9k
Volume
$36.18M
Markets traded
99,280
Open portfolio
$8.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded99,280
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 07:49Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.6325967057$98.32
08-25 07:49Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.948$105.16
08-25 07:49Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.93$138.59
08-25 07:48Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.987$147.88
08-25 07:48Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.35$153.35
08-25 07:48Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.9$176.72
08-25 07:48Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.961$181.97
08-25 07:48UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?SELL0.9462541483$272.02
07-14 16:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.8$258.64
07-05 20:40Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.83$4.2k
07-05 20:17Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.21$106.47
07-05 20:10Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.19737765$789.51
06-26 05:49Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 28?BUY0.7$8.40
06-26 05:49Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 26?BUY0.24$1.24
06-26 05:48Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 26?BUY0.66$13.86