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Traders

whumpa

0xe000e1dd06d3d17dc943dc9215a2e166efd5cbb1

Realised P&L
$-8.2k
Volume
$617.3k
Markets traded
753
Open portfolio
$7.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded753
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · No0.2210.295$1.4k+$346.19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · No0.5800.755$456.94+$106.02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2510.275$321.75+$28.55
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7070.875$251.56+$48.31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4660.285$242.05−$153.71
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4750.295$209.45−$128.14
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes0.2390.275$201.47+$26.00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4780.285$182.19−$123.74
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.5980.715$180.90+$29.48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting? · No0.7470.725$169.64−$5.15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting? · No0.4870.505$165.81+$5.78
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.5610.575$160.99+$3.90
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7990.695$139.00−$20.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.7570.885$135.22+$19.60
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · No0.8920.889$133.25−$0.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 09:142026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.3$18.00
10-31 09:07Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.29$11.60
10-31 09:07Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.29$20.30
10-30 13:01Will Maurizio Massari be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?BUY0.854$4.27
10-30 13:01Will William Ruger be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?BUY0.881$4.41
10-30 08:51Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?BUY0.63$18.89
10-30 06:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?BUY0.57$38.76
10-29 23:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.28$1.40
10-29 23:10US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.35$7.00
10-29 22:51Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.26$25.22
10-29 22:51Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.26$17.40
10-29 22:51Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.29$26.10
10-29 22:51Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.26$18.20
10-29 22:35Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.25$32.00
10-29 22:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.25$25.00
Trader whumpa · PolyBot Pro