whumpa
0xe000e1dd06d3d17dc943dc9215a2e166efd5cbb1
- Realised P&L
- $-8.2k
- Volume
- $617.3k
- Markets traded
- 753
- Open portfolio
- $7.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded753
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.535US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$720.84at 0.789Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
- +$700.82at 0.659US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$506.99at 0.088Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
- +$491.86at 0.792Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 09:14 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3 | $18.00 |
| 10-31 09:07 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $11.60 |
| 10-31 09:07 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $20.30 |
| 10-30 13:01 | Will Maurizio Massari be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? | BUY | 0.854 | $4.27 |
| 10-30 13:01 | Will William Ruger be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? | BUY | 0.881 | $4.41 |
| 10-30 08:51 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.63 | $18.89 |
| 10-30 06:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.57 | $38.76 |
| 10-29 23:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-29 23:10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 10-29 22:51 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $25.22 |
| 10-29 22:51 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $17.40 |
| 10-29 22:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.29 | $26.10 |
| 10-29 22:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.26 | $18.20 |
| 10-29 22:35 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $32.00 |
| 10-29 22:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |