PolyBot

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Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-27

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.005. down 0.006 over the period, from 0.011. Range 0.005 to 0.020. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.008416416
0.0095421
0.01020441
0.013150591
0.0146641,255
0.0363001,555
0.049501,605
0.085301,635
0.0862601,894
0.096501,944
0.097351,979
0.1391002,080

Spread0.006Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0025,0055,005
0.0018985,903

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9985,0055,005
0.9998985,903

Spread0.006Mid0.995

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.992416416
0.9915421
0.99020441
0.987150591
0.9866641,255
0.9643001,555
0.951501,605
0.915301,635
0.9142601,894
0.904501,944
0.903351,979
0.8611002,080

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
vlospaYes634.98
0xB16B00B5Yes513.68
xtxpleasecallmeYes386.34
SC261001Yes359.71
Numitus1994Yes300
lpgbYes290.79
rainbowliliesYes200
acc32Yes150
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.Yes150
WarriorHYes125.11
Dr.PNLYes90
IamIsaacNewtonYes68.44
2B9SYes56
balthazarYes50
napamenYes50
ghorrockYes29.82
alphalab1Yes11.99
bjproloYes10
0x0Aa076ea6ec2Ea7928A1AB26a15637D61e4604A3-1774352226279Yes6
crossFiterYes4.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:53:52BUYNo0.9950730$29.85
20:24:01BUYNo0.99511$11.04
20:23:22BUYNo0.99511$10.95
19:55:12BUYYes0.02350$1.15
19:55:12BUYNo0.99620$19.92
19:40:36BUYNo0.99610$9.96
19:40:36BUYNo0.995925666730$29.88
19:40:36BUYNo0.99520$19.91
18:44:36SELLYes0.00533$0.16
18:44:01BUYYes0.02435$0.84
18:44:00BUYNo0.99530$29.85
17:45:25BUYYes0.02450$1.20
17:45:18BUYNo0.99684$83.66
17:45:18BUYNo0.99630$29.88
15:33:09BUYNo0.99530$29.85
15:33:07BUYNo0.99520$19.90
15:19:45BUYNo0.99530$29.85
13:06:06BUYYes0.02474$1.78
13:04:33BUYYes0.01310$0.14
12:50:36BUYNo0.99580$79.60
12:50:36BUYNo0.995110$109.45
12:50:36BUYNo0.99550$49.75
12:50:36BUYNo0.99530$29.85
10:27:57BUYNo0.99530$29.85
09:28:21BUYNo0.9967$6.99