PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

alphalab1

0x9295e6ca73ba35df8fbc419233cb3030c974b91c

Realised P&L
$-930.32
Volume
$37.1k
Markets traded
824
Open portfolio
$107.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded824
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2070.265$10.58+$2.30
Will Christopher Haworth reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · Yes0.3400.500$10.00+$3.20
Will Lingwei Kong reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · Yes0.1200.500$10.00+$7.60
Will Ashton Jeanty finish as a top-12 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.6100.500$10.00−$2.20
Will Gabriel Tardio reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · No0.2300.490$9.80+$5.20
Will AlloX FDV be above $50M one day after launch? · No0.2800.460$9.20+$3.60
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting? · Yes0.1400.160$6.40+$0.80
Will Eric Dane rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? · Yes0.1000.375$5.63+$4.13
Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? · Yes0.1700.270$5.40+$2.00
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? · No0.2100.225$4.50+$0.30
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? · Yes0.2100.225$4.50+$0.30
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.3900.265$4.24−$2.00
Will primmie play for FULL SENSE in 2027? · Yes0.0900.298$2.95+$2.06
Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1300.115$2.30−$0.30
Will Iraq join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.090$1.80−$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 13:53Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?SELL0.1$3.00
10-07 20:18Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 400,000 and 450,000?SELL0.18$2.52
10-07 18:49Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026?SELL0.13$2.60
10-07 13:02Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?SELL0.68$13.60
10-07 07:08Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?SELL0.2275$4.55
10-06 11:43Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 30?SELL0.11$2.20
10-01 06:28Will Russia enter Havrylivka by October 31, 2026?SELL0.13$2.16
09-30 12:55Will "Digger" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.45$9.00
09-30 03:04Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.32$4.89
09-30 00:12Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?SELL0.22$2.20
09-29 23:14Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?SELL0.133$2.66
09-29 22:36Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?SELL0.11$2.20
09-29 15:45Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?SELL0.18$3.02
09-28 22:06Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?SELL0.17$0.85
09-28 00:13Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 28 2026?SELL0.14$2.80