alphalab1
0x9295e6ca73ba35df8fbc419233cb3030c974b91c
- Realised P&L
- $-684.40
- Volume
- $26.6k
- Markets traded
- 576
- Open portfolio
- $42.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded576
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.51at 0.290Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?
- +$4.60at 0.310Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T?
- +$2.40at 0.105Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 100m by August 31?
- +$2.00at 0.130Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on September 11, 2026?
- +$1.96at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.43 | $7.79 |
| 09-16 12:49 | Will CJ Klinger reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.26 |
| 09-12 04:51 | Will England be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 09-11 01:09 | Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-06 17:04 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 09-06 00:12 | Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 19? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 09-04 00:12 | Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena) | SELL | 0.179248227 | $25.27 |
| 09-03 14:34 | Will Trump Insult Mapquest this week? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.27 |
| 08-30 20:36 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 08-30 20:33 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 08-30 19:24 | Will Justina Pula be the next President of Kosovo? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 08-30 13:58 | Will Jack Grealish join Everton? | SELL | 0.1451446945 | $11.28 |
| 08-29 20:46 | Will Jack Grealish join Everton? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.13 |
| 08-29 10:01 | Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-29 09:04 | Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |