lpgb
0x1f5f9fa318fbda8350ac143b4df657287df850fa
- Realised P&L
- $-13.01
- Volume
- $259.73
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $0.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026? · No | 0.150 | 0.026 | $0.79 | −$3.78 |
| Will Vinted be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.72at 0.250Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$1.60at 0.211Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$1.56at 0.240Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
- +$1.50at 0.250Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$0.72at 0.410Will Vinted be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 21:49 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.02 |