PolyBot

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Traders

SC261001

0xa2c0c2f6f05785a114131474d6d8fe331be8cbe8

Realised P&L
$93.24
Volume
$53.4k
Markets traded
232
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded232
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.5810.680$370.55+$54.02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6900.705$320.21+$6.97
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting? · Yes0.6050.565$222.30−$15.74
Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting? · No0.8430.875$132.14+$4.76
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.2400.257$131.77+$8.41
Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting? · No0.8930.912$109.76+$2.28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting? · Yes0.2060.275$108.20+$26.94
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No0.3430.275$105.11−$26.07
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? · No0.9120.977$84.02+$5.62
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · No0.9140.977$76.59+$4.90
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? · Yes0.7800.701$49.07−$5.51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.6620.695$43.58+$2.04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2070.275$37.29+$9.21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.3900.355$35.50−$3.50
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.0350.072$32.48+$16.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 20:02Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.12$12.00
10-31 01:43Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.27$2.70
10-31 01:43Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?SELL0.72$7.20
10-30 20:23Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?BUY0.108$1.19
10-30 20:23Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.71$7.81
10-30 20:23Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?BUY0.1$1.10
10-30 18:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.3$3.00
10-30 18:28Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?SELL0.07$1.75
10-30 18:28Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.26$6.50
10-30 18:28Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?SELL0.66$16.50
10-30 18:20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.7$7.90
10-30 18:20Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.26$2.94
10-30 18:15Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?SELL0.07$0.35
10-30 18:15Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.25$1.25
10-30 18:15Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?SELL0.67$3.35