PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

napamen

0x849418ee19454113a9c3521c8d04bcab52f4814a

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$443.9k
Markets traded
705
Open portfolio
$353.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded705
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? · No0.9200.880$44.00$2.00
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? · No0.9300.878$39.53$2.32
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31? · Yes0.7400.445$22.25$14.75
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1290.021$1.02$5.42
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.019$0.97$2.02
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1000.018$0.90$4.10
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1270.019$0.38$2.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 07:45Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaSELL0.7428766$371.44
07-23 02:05Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)SELL0.54$270.00
07-23 02:04LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.8$88.89
07-22 13:39Will the Republican Party win the ME-01 House seat?SELL0.0243924149$0.63
07-22 13:38Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.025$1.25
07-22 13:38Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?SELL0.0226956$1.13
07-22 13:37Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?SELL0.08$4.00
07-22 13:37Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.12$1.38
07-22 13:36Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.121$4.65
07-22 13:36Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.092$4.60
07-22 13:35Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.044$1.10
07-22 13:35Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.884392$44.22
07-21 19:00Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)SELL0.51$255.00
07-18 23:26LoL: Polar Squad Esports vs Kits Esports - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.2303963292$91.38
07-17 14:07Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 1 WinnerSELL0.56$3.23