napamen
0x849418ee19454113a9c3521c8d04bcab52f4814a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $443.9k
- Markets traded
- 705
- Open portfolio
- $353.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded705
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? · No | 0.920 | 0.880 | $44.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? · No | 0.930 | 0.878 | $39.53 | −$2.32 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.445 | $22.25 | −$14.75 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.021 | $1.02 | −$5.42 |
| Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.019 | $0.97 | −$2.02 |
| Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.018 | $0.90 | −$4.10 |
| Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.019 | $0.38 | −$2.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.50at 0.450Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 6.5 Corners
- +$187.73at 0.600Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
- +$65.00at 0.370Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs
- +$50.00at 0.390Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5
- +$45.00at 0.570Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 07:45 | Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha | SELL | 0.7428766 | $371.44 |
| 07-23 02:05 | Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5) | SELL | 0.54 | $270.00 |
| 07-23 02:04 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.8 | $88.89 |
| 07-22 13:39 | Will the Republican Party win the ME-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.0243924149 | $0.63 |
| 07-22 13:38 | Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.025 | $1.25 |
| 07-22 13:38 | Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | SELL | 0.0226956 | $1.13 |
| 07-22 13:37 | Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 07-22 13:37 | Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.38 |
| 07-22 13:36 | Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.121 | $4.65 |
| 07-22 13:36 | Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.092 | $4.60 |
| 07-22 13:35 | Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.044 | $1.10 |
| 07-22 13:35 | Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.884392 | $44.22 |
| 07-21 19:00 | Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5) | SELL | 0.51 | $255.00 |
| 07-18 23:26 | LoL: Polar Squad Esports vs Kits Esports - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.2303963292 | $91.38 |
| 07-17 14:07 | Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.56 | $3.23 |