0xB16B00B5
0x8a7b576b7a53ef54876f9eca18bcd84f12d8782f
- Realised P&L
- $49.7k
- Volume
- $6.85M
- Markets traded
- 2,036
- Open portfolio
- $19.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,036
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.250Dolphins vs. Texans
- +$3.0kat 0.426Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?
- +$2.5kat 0.006Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$1.3kat 0.731Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
- +$1.2kat 0.990Fed rate hike in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:59 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | SELL | 0.848 | $52.02 |
| 09-16 18:41 | Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1145183607 | $17.46 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.7k |
| 09-15 15:28 | Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0731192439 | $16.05 |
| 09-14 20:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-14 17:52 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.912 | $91.20 |
| 09-14 17:52 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.9107566 | $273.23 |
| 09-14 17:49 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $176.00 |
| 09-14 17:43 | Will GBP/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.915 | $91.50 |
| 09-14 17:42 | Will GBP/USD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $54.60 |
| 09-14 17:42 | Will GBP/USD hit 1.55 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 09-13 15:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.968 | $1.2k |
| 09-12 22:06 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.49 |
| 09-11 17:28 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $8.80 |
| 09-11 17:25 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting? | BUY | 0.9 | $36.00 |