PolyBot

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Traders

0xB16B00B5

0x8a7b576b7a53ef54876f9eca18bcd84f12d8782f

Realised P&L
$49.7k
Volume
$6.85M
Markets traded
2,036
Open portfolio
$19.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,036
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9450.975$2.5k+$76.35
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · No0.8230.870$2.4k+$127.04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? · Yes0.8920.960$1.5k+$106.05
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.3310.355$1.1k+$73.18
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? · No0.7580.935$1.0k+$191.35
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.968$968.00+$18.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9350.945$945.00+$10.00
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? · No0.9100.966$930.74+$53.61
ECB rate cut in 2026? · No0.9140.955$886.29+$38.22
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.935$561.00+$3.00
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9530.956$477.75+$1.25
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? · No0.9280.969$402.13+$16.71
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9570.977$390.61+$7.80
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9100.945$378.00+$14.00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? · No0.9110.945$377.80+$13.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:59Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?SELL0.848$52.02
09-16 18:41Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.1145183607$17.46
09-16 18:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.99$19.7k
09-15 15:28Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.0731192439$16.05
09-14 20:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$4.40
09-14 17:52Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.912$91.20
09-14 17:52Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.9107566$273.23
09-14 17:49Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?BUY0.88$176.00
09-14 17:43Will GBP/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.915$91.50
09-14 17:42Will GBP/USD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?BUY0.91$54.60
09-14 17:42Will GBP/USD hit 1.55 (High) in 2026?BUY0.88$44.00
09-13 15:25Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.968$1.2k
09-12 22:06Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.01$1.49
09-11 17:28Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?BUY0.11$8.80
09-11 17:25Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?BUY0.9$36.00