0xB16B00B5
0x8a7b576b7a53ef54876f9eca18bcd84f12d8782f
- Realised P&L
- $51.1k
- Volume
- $7.05M
- Markets traded
- 2,135
- Open portfolio
- $17.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,135
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.250Dolphins vs. Texans
- +$3.0kat 0.426Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?
- +$2.5kat 0.006Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$1.3kat 0.731Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
- +$1.2kat 0.990Fed rate hike in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:53 | Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.79 |
| 11-01 21:37 | Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 11-01 03:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.016 | $16.00 |
| 11-01 03:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.016 | $32.00 |
| 10-31 19:41 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $113.20 |
| 10-31 18:46 | Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 18:42 | Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 10-31 18:41 | Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 10-31 18:26 | Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.8454861111 | $121.75 |
| 10-31 06:05 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $421.09 |
| 10-30 19:40 | Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 10-30 19:39 | Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.07 | $9.38 |
| 10-29 23:44 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 10-29 23:36 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 10-29 22:38 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.77 | $308.00 |