PolyBot

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Traders

0xB16B00B5

0x8a7b576b7a53ef54876f9eca18bcd84f12d8782f

Realised P&L
$51.1k
Volume
$7.05M
Markets traded
2,135
Open portfolio
$17.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,135
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · No0.8280.835$2.7k+$24.21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.3710.680$2.7k+$1.2k
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? · Yes0.8920.972$1.5k+$124.94
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · No0.8310.915$1.2k+$111.63
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? · No0.7790.930$1.2k+$192.36
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · No0.7560.825$1.1k+$93.26
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · No0.5850.976$1.1k+$432.34
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No0.3620.275$1.0k−$315.99
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.8520.905$839.65+$48.78
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · No0.9430.981$814.39+$31.15
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.8900.915$516.64+$14.12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027? · No0.8400.914$420.67+$34.27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9400.945$283.50+$1.50
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · No0.9170.968$213.69+$11.18
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · No0.9010.962$200.70+$12.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:53Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?BUY0.24$3.79
11-01 21:37Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?BUY0.24$12.00
11-01 03:15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.016$16.00
11-01 03:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.016$32.00
10-31 19:41Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the March meeting?BUY0.4$113.20
10-31 18:46Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?BUY0.2$4.00
10-31 18:42Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?BUY0.85$8.50
10-31 18:41Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?BUY0.82$8.20
10-31 18:26Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?BUY0.8454861111$121.75
10-31 06:05US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.94$421.09
10-30 19:40Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?BUY0.08$8.00
10-30 19:39Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?BUY0.07$9.38
10-29 23:44Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.77$3.85
10-29 23:36Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.77$3.85
10-29 22:38Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.77$308.00