PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0Aa076ea6ec2Ea7928A1AB26a15637D61e4604A3-1774352226279

0x0aa076ea6ec2ea7928a1ab26a15637d61e4604a3

Realised P&L
$250.03
Volume
$568.8k
Markets traded
2,172
Open portfolio
$163.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,172
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.0300.962$26.71+$25.87
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.0500.212$4.25+$3.25
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? · Yes0.0120.077$3.23+$2.73
Will Sudan make Eric Adams a citizen? · Yes0.0300.087$2.92+$1.92
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.107$2.69+$1.69
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 12% or more? · Yes0.0090.059$2.51+$2.13
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? · No0.0130.054$2.04+$1.55
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.047$1.88−$0.12
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? · No0.0500.121$1.82+$1.07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.0400.099$1.77+$1.05
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.0040.007$1.75+$0.75
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? · Yes0.0500.090$1.69+$0.76
Will PP win the most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election? · No0.0400.068$1.69+$0.69
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0140.015$1.67+$0.13
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · No0.0280.059$1.61+$0.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-01 09:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.96$1.00
06-01 08:40Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.95$1.00
06-01 07:50Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.9299999907$1.00
06-01 07:25Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.9399999624$1.00
06-01 06:27Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.96$1.00
06-01 04:23Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.95$1.00
06-01 03:08Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.96$1.00
06-01 01:55Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.92$1.00
06-01 01:29Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.96$1.00
06-01 01:06Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETBUY0.95$1.00
06-01 00:59Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.96$1.00
06-01 00:11Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.96$1.00
05-31 23:36Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETBUY0.96$1.00
05-31 23:26Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.96$1.00
05-31 23:04Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.96$1.00