PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-02-01
Resolves by
https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.054. up 0.019 over the period, from 0.035. Range 0.023 to 0.076. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0842020
0.1392040
0.1402565
0.141156221
0.15810230
0.160251481
0.2029490
0.20350540
0.28813552
0.30950602
0.31135637
0.42320657

Spread0.060Mid0.054

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0243030
0.0236596
0.00616112
0.005120232
0.004200432
0.003390822
0.0027171,539
0.00111,54613,085

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9763030
0.9776596
0.99416112
0.995120232
0.996200432
0.997390822
0.9987171,539
0.99911,54613,085

Spread0.060Mid0.946

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9162020
0.8612040
0.8602565
0.859156221
0.84210230
0.840251481
0.7989490
0.79750540
0.71213552
0.69150602
0.68935637
0.57720657

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
R0ontYes624.38
xtxpleasecallmeYes325.48
AiBirdYes196.28
LornaPredictsYes164.69
zeitfi-vault-v2Yes111.49
hfvYes84.07
0x3a9d…f332Yes61.79
Hugin-og-MuninYes59
tryrktryYes50
lhuiYes39.99
haouibaoYes35
0xd0d9…30f2Yes35
aHjCzYes23.32
Specialist200303Yes20.5
pppnnYes20
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes20
cigarettesYes20
Dr.PNLYes19.99
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes19.57
dsfd3Yes10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:14:57BUYYes0.0645$0.32
20:14:57BUYYes0.0645$0.32
20:14:27BUYYes0.0635$0.32
20:14:24BUYYes0.0635$0.32
20:14:22BUYYes0.0635$0.32
20:14:22BUYYes0.0635$0.32
19:46:30BUYYes0.0855$0.43
19:46:27BUYYes0.0855$0.43
19:46:25BUYYes0.0855$0.43
19:46:24BUYYes0.0855$0.43
16:43:16BUYYes0.08340$3.32
08:44:15BUYNo0.975999988740$38.68
09:33:40BUYYes0.02560$1.50
08:04:12SELLNo0.8620$0.37
08:04:12SELLNo0.96193$89.19
17:36:16BUYNo0.99175$74.33
17:36:16BUYNo0.99113$12.68
00:03:12BUYYes0.01520$0.30
06:19:38BUYYes0.0397$0.29
23:04:05SELLYes0.017870250$0.89
06:00:02BUYYes0.03448$1.63
04:01:14SELLYes0.00848$0.38
13:52:39BUYYes0.03344$1.45
09:11:18BUYYes0.0325$0.16
05:20:57BUYYes0.0325$0.16