PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

haouibao

0xa499aa5336613fe23d3030b500a52683b1ee2a2b

Realised P&L
$-0.13
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
162
Open portfolio
$592.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded162
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? · Yes0.6600.660$69.30+$0.03
Will the season series between the Lions and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5660.520$36.40$3.21
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · Yes0.4300.450$31.50+$1.40
Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · Yes0.4900.444$31.08$3.22
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? · Yes0.2610.280$29.40+$1.95
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? · Yes0.3900.385$17.32$0.23
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5680.645$16.13+$1.93
Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30? · Yes0.7720.785$15.70+$0.25
Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.1500.215$15.05+$4.55
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.4500.427$14.96$0.80
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.3670.408$14.28+$1.43
Will the Packers win the season series against the Lions during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.2340.195$13.65$2.75
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,161,000 and $1,196,000 on September 30? · Yes0.5140.677$13.55+$3.26
Will the season series between the Ravens and Bengals end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4500.455$11.38+$0.13
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30? · Yes0.4790.497$9.94+$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 05:43Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?BUY0.074$0.37
09-23 05:43Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?BUY0.24636$1.23
09-23 05:43Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?BUY0.66$3.30
09-23 03:17Will the Ravens win the season series against the Steelers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.39$1.95
09-23 03:17Will the Steelers win the season series against the Ravens during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.14$0.70
09-23 03:17Will the season series between the Ravens and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.42$2.10
09-22 22:49Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?BUY0.08$0.40
09-22 22:49Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30?BUY0.003$0.01
09-22 22:49Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30?BUY0.007$0.04
09-22 22:49Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,017,000 on September 30?BUY0.023$0.11
09-22 22:49Will the median home value in Miami be at least $1,196,000 on September 30?BUY0.065$0.33
09-22 22:49Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?BUY0.239$1.19
09-22 22:49Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,161,000 and $1,196,000 on September 30?BUY0.55$2.75
09-22 22:46Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30?BUY0.01$0.05
09-22 22:46Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,161,000 and $1,196,000 on September 30?BUY0.549$2.75