PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

R0ont

0x77441e012301e7c4f711085aa25b45305850d8d6

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$232.3k
Markets traded
336
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded336
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1560.175$140.00+$15.33
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? · Yes0.3030.324$120.59+$7.72
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? · Yes0.1410.226$116.55+$43.92
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? · No0.6230.970$109.61+$39.24
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? · No0.3650.319$107.92−$15.73
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? · Yes0.0970.238$106.32+$62.91
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3370.235$63.97−$27.70
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.4950.300$60.00−$39.00
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%? · Yes0.0950.054$33.72−$25.81
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.005$33.00−$9.00
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? · Yes0.2600.270$32.34+$1.14
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No0.5390.270$29.00−$28.94
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5500.285$28.50−$26.50
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0280.028$27.50−$0.50
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0210.025$24.50+$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 13:20Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?BUY0.05$1.00
10-12 13:57Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.004$1.18
10-12 13:57Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.004$5.91
10-12 13:54Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?SELL0.09$1.05
10-12 13:54Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?SELL0.091$3.60
10-01 14:08Wales vs. Norway: O/U 5.5BUY0.11$5.50
10-01 14:08Wales vs. Norway: O/U 4.5BUY0.22$8.80
10-01 14:08Wales vs. Norway: O/U 3.5BUY0.4$8.00
10-01 14:03Spread: Germany (-2.5)BUY0.41$8.20
10-01 14:03Germany vs. Serbia: Germany O/U 3.5BUY0.34$2.88
10-01 13:59Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?SELL0.89$56.07
10-01 13:56Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?BUY0.26$2.60
10-01 13:55Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.44$13.20
10-01 13:55Spread: Austria (-1.5)BUY0.2$5.00
10-01 13:52Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.46$13.80