0xd0d90cd53993e3fd64d27662db009adc6e1e30f2
0xd0d90cd53993e3fd64d27662db009adc6e1e30f2
- Realised P&L
- $-28.85
- Volume
- $83.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,940
- Open portfolio
- $7.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,940
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$309.21at 0.700Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- +$117.02at 0.330Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?
- +$114.00at 0.104Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?
- +$95.54at 0.131Will "Hacks" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?
- +$93.59at 0.117Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 22:05 | Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-02 22:05 | Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 10-02 22:05 | Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in October 2026? | BUY | 0.059 | $0.29 |
| 10-02 22:05 | Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 10-02 22:05 | Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 21:43 | Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in October 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 10-02 21:43 | Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 10-02 21:43 | Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-02 21:43 | Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 10-02 21:43 | Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026? | BUY | 0.22686 | $1.13 |
| 10-02 20:55 | Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 10-02 20:55 | Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0276 | $0.14 |
| 10-02 20:55 | Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 10-02 20:55 | Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 10-02 20:55 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |