PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dsfd3

0x407d7eccf0f5d65d4ec42366db6e5153dd3052fd

Realised P&L
$-111.26
Volume
$45.4k
Markets traded
978
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded978
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes0.7680.895$510.15+$72.57
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.5390.815$472.70+$159.92
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.3970.645$399.90+$153.65
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9450.968$251.55+$5.86
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.1370.205$127.41+$42.41
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.3850.195$120.90−$117.69
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2020.375$120.00+$55.36
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5770.490$93.10−$16.45
Will the season series between the Chiefs and Raiders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.3250.463$87.88+$26.03
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? · Yes0.8140.818$85.89+$0.42
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.1920.145$84.10−$27.10
Will the season series between the Cowboys and Giants end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6550.695$76.45+$4.35
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? · Yes0.7060.885$75.22+$15.18
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes0.0060.208$66.56+$64.53
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes0.4980.205$65.60−$93.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 06:24No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.4$2.00
09-22 05:46Will the season series between the Eagles and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.24$1.20
09-22 05:46Will the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.72$3.60
09-22 05:46Will the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.72$3.60
09-22 05:46Will the season series between the Eagles and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.24$1.20
09-22 05:46Will the season series between the Eagles and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.24$1.20
09-22 05:46Will the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.72$3.60
09-22 05:46Will the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.72$3.60
09-22 05:46Will the season series between the Eagles and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.24$1.20
09-22 05:46Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.038$0.19
09-22 05:46Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.37$1.85
09-22 05:46Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.11$0.55
09-22 05:46Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.196$0.98
09-22 05:46Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.25$1.25
09-22 05:45Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.196$0.98