dsfd3
0x407d7eccf0f5d65d4ec42366db6e5153dd3052fd
- Realised P&L
- $-111.26
- Volume
- $45.4k
- Markets traded
- 978
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded978
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$506.34at 0.383Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?
- +$370.21at 0.362Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?
- +$114.70at 0.344Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?
- +$79.03at 0.210Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?
- +$76.21at 0.198Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:24 | No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Will the season series between the Eagles and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Will the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Will the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Will the season series between the Eagles and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Will the season series between the Eagles and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Will the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Will the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Will the season series between the Eagles and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.038 | $0.19 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.196 | $0.98 |
| 09-22 05:46 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 09-22 05:45 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.196 | $0.98 |