0x29eda18df836ad93a8c285f97873bbe26118a8da
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 19,731
- Open portfolio
- $16.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded19,731
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.38at 0.191Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 30%-35%?
- +$21.95at 0.061Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?
- +$21.75at 0.070Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
- +$21.23at 0.076Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?
- +$20.80at 0.160Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.75 | $13.71 |
| 11-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.5199999902 | $10.59 |
| 11-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.29 |
| 11-02 22:07 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 5%-10%? | BUY | 0.859999999 | $17.58 |
| 11-02 22:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 4? | BUY | 0.4735868292 | $9.60 |
| 11-02 22:04 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 11-02 21:52 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.303999992 | $6.10 |
| 11-02 21:32 | Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.37 |
| 11-02 21:31 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 4? | BUY | 0.1647474557 | $3.40 |
| 11-02 21:30 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 11-02 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 4? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.72 |
| 11-02 20:53 | Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0779999973 | $1.96 |
| 11-02 20:53 | Will the Miami Dolphins win more than 4.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.75 |
| 11-02 20:52 | Will Iran target Jordan by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4376228981 | $8.80 |
| 11-02 20:48 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? | BUY | 0.7199999921 | $14.60 |