PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x29eda18df836ad93a8c285f97873bbe26118a8da

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
19,731
Open portfolio
$16.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded19,731
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points? · No0.8200.750$37.50−$3.50
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan? · No0.9810.999$19.97+$0.35
Will Miguel Tapias win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? · No0.9840.997$19.94+$0.26
Will Deck-Man: Cassette Player be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6? · No0.9900.995$19.91+$0.10
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? · No0.9800.989$19.77+$0.17
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6? · No0.9970.985$19.69−$0.25
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6? · No0.9700.981$19.61+$0.21
Will Jordan Kyrou record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? · No0.9600.973$19.45+$0.25
Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election? · Yes0.9730.967$19.33−$0.13
Will Davy Roef record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? · No0.9790.964$19.28−$0.30
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · No0.9500.964$19.28+$0.28
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · No0.9700.964$19.27−$0.13
Will John-Jason Peterka record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? · No0.9400.964$19.27+$0.47
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9630.958$19.15−$0.11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 25%-30%? · No0.8240.955$19.09+$2.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3?BUY0.75$13.71
11-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 3?BUY0.5199999902$10.59
11-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3?BUY0.75$1.29
11-02 22:07Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 5%-10%?BUY0.859999999$17.58
11-02 22:06Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 4?BUY0.4735868292$9.60
11-02 22:04Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?BUY0.95$19.00
11-02 21:52Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.303999992$6.10
11-02 21:32Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31?SELL0.72$0.37
11-02 21:31Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 4?BUY0.1647474557$3.40
11-02 21:30Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9$18.00
11-02 21:00Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 4?BUY0.64$5.72
11-02 20:53Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0779999973$1.96
11-02 20:53Will the Miami Dolphins win more than 4.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?BUY0.25$1.75
11-02 20:52Will Iran target Jordan by November 30, 2026?BUY0.4376228981$8.80
11-02 20:48Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?BUY0.7199999921$14.60