Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.044. down 0.012 over the period, from 0.057. Range 0.044 to 0.057. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.059	10	10
0.060	43	53
0.069	30	83
0.070	200	283
0.073	500	783
0.075	100	883
0.076	500	1,383
0.080	100	1,483
0.109	157	1,639
0.110	357	1,997
0.120	5	2,002
0.138	8	2,010

Spread0.029Mid0.044

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.030	13	13
0.023	8	21
0.022	15	37
0.021	32	69
0.020	136	206
0.019	769	974
0.018	2,258	3,232
0.016	339	3,571
0.015	417	3,988
0.011	9	3,997
0.010	1,000	4,997
0.005	32	5,029

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.970	13	13
0.977	8	21
0.978	15	37
0.979	32	69
0.980	136	206
0.981	769	974
0.982	2,258	3,232
0.984	339	3,571
0.985	417	3,988
0.989	9	3,997
0.990	1,000	4,997
0.995	32	5,029

Spread0.029Mid0.956

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.941	10	10
0.940	43	53
0.931	30	83
0.930	200	283
0.927	500	783
0.925	100	883
0.924	500	1,383
0.920	100	1,483
0.891	157	1,639
0.890	357	1,997
0.880	5	2,002
0.862	8	2,010

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
TANGO853	Yes	5,001.41
VEF7SmxGhr	Yes	1,285.18
fiter	Yes	676.41
0x1d1f…6f8d	Yes	432.21
groppone	Yes	357.31
Gulgaio	Yes	337.18
pjotrekkk	Yes	300
Elenai	Yes	245
rocky42009	Yes	222.21
aosdijf	Yes	200
chemp1mln	Yes	178.31
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	156.72
0x7D700f0c18a91B1E6a1CEea0085907fC178e80d2-1776595596989	Yes	145.22
0x275DB13DcCE9202c3F6E7bAfA04ce1ddA6144589-1771710012886	Yes	130.08
gengarofi	Yes	119.87
neutralwave23	Yes	119.2
Blurry-Ball	Yes	114.15
0x454202d061FD983265CE016bF9953366f6132637-1775296074821	Yes	104.01
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	101
Danya.Savin	Yes	100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:47:13	BUY	Yes	0.0587680616	51	$3.00
10:14:31	BUY	No	0.9675940372	207	$200.00
13:35:54	BUY	No	0.967305095	22	$20.88
06:19:17	BUY	Yes	0.0750812567	120	$9.00
13:30:53	BUY	Yes	0.048	14	$0.66
13:30:56	BUY	No	0.964	5	$4.82
13:30:53	BUY	No	0.95	7	$6.65
13:30:53	BUY	Yes	0.05	10	$0.50
08:19:26	SELL	No	0.93	6	$5.18
08:18:51	BUY	No	0.9499998925	6	$5.30
21:32:05	SELL	No	0.9313891059	92	$85.84
15:05:15	BUY	No	0.9639999998	17	$16.03
09:25:24	BUY	No	0.9649999349	2	$2.00
09:25:17	BUY	No	0.9649999866	2	$1.80
09:25:17	BUY	No	0.9649998925	2	$2.20
09:25:14	BUY	No	0.9649999594	2	$1.90
09:19:36	BUY	No	0.9639999884	2	$2.00
09:19:33	BUY	No	0.963999986	2	$2.20
09:19:30	BUY	No	0.963999989	2	$2.10
09:19:29	BUY	No	0.9639999914	2	$1.80
09:16:06	BUY	No	0.963999989	2	$2.10
09:16:02	BUY	No	0.963999986	2	$2.20
09:15:57	BUY	No	0.9631545462	2	$1.80
09:15:53	BUY	No	0.9629996283	2	$2.00
09:12:32	BUY	No	0.9629999374	2	$1.80