Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.046. down 0.007 over the period, from 0.054. Range 0.046 to 0.059. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.047	10	10
0.060	40	50
0.062	63	113
0.063	46	159
0.065	58	217
0.066	84	302
0.070	100	402
0.077	21	423
0.078	100	523
0.090	200	723
0.096	200	923
0.098	200	1,123

Spread0.001Mid0.046

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.046	155	155
0.039	10	165
0.033	30	195
0.031	10	205
0.026	582	788
0.017	171	959
0.015	2,205	3,163
0.010	500	3,663
0.005	2,250	5,913
0.004	2,344	8,257
0.003	8,018	16,275
0.002	13,715	29,990

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.954	155	155
0.961	10	165
0.967	30	195
0.969	10	205
0.974	582	788
0.983	171	959
0.985	2,205	3,163
0.990	500	3,663
0.995	2,250	5,913
0.996	2,344	8,257
0.997	8,018	16,275
0.998	13,715	29,990

Spread0.001Mid0.954

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.953	10	10
0.940	40	50
0.938	63	113
0.937	46	159
0.935	58	217
0.934	84	302
0.930	100	402
0.923	21	423
0.922	100	523
0.910	200	723
0.904	200	923
0.902	200	1,123

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
TANGO853	Yes	5,001.41
VEF7SmxGhr	Yes	1,285.18
fiter	Yes	521.12
0x1d1f…6f8d	Yes	432.21
groppone	Yes	357.31
pjotrekkk	Yes	300
Elenai	Yes	245
rocky42009	Yes	222.21
aosdijf	Yes	200
chemp1mln	Yes	178.31
0x7D700f0c18a91B1E6a1CEea0085907fC178e80d2-1776595596989	Yes	145.22
0x275DB13DcCE9202c3F6E7bAfA04ce1ddA6144589-1771710012886	Yes	130.08
0x454202d061FD983265CE016bF9953366f6132637-1775296074821	Yes	104.01
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	101
Danya.Savin	Yes	100
Drzephyrran	Yes	100
theusosccp	Yes	95.97
0x5F7Bf33F595CD07AC2946A96bA2f41dAee57ea70-1768727292660	Yes	91.39
M8M8M	Yes	90.91
rx8549o867549	Yes	82.51

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:01:30	SELL	Yes	0.0485740354	72	$3.49
15:55:40	BUY	No	0.9407184945	106	$100.00
17:10:13	SELL	No	0.924	1	$1.01
21:05:39	BUY	No	0.9339999197	4	$3.93
22:50:54	SELL	No	0.925605083	500	$462.52
21:03:37	SELL	No	0.938418525	400	$375.37
15:13:27	BUY	No	0.954	314	$300.00
15:11:12	BUY	No	0.9530121709	315	$300.00
14:32:54	BUY	No	0.9447615826	113	$106.86
01:42:42	BUY	No	0.9324661366	365	$340.07
17:34:00	BUY	Yes	0.0750475783	13	$1.00
11:35:31	SELL	No	0.921548	10	$9.22
11:44:51	SELL	Yes	0.057	9	$0.52
16:08:33	BUY	No	0.9395750808	160	$150.00
15:55:42	BUY	No	0.9146505899	109	$100.00
12:11:16	BUY	No	0.9129999717	1	$1.00
12:11:16	BUY	No	0.913	7	$5.97
12:11:15	BUY	Yes	0.087	10	$0.87
21:56:01	BUY	Yes	0.0740162646	369	$27.30
21:50:33	BUY	Yes	0.071	416	$29.56
21:49:36	BUY	Yes	0.071	500	$35.50
21:08:15	BUY	Yes	0.070999987	70	$5.00
19:57:12	BUY	Yes	0.0688602975	145	$10.00
18:05:40	BUY	Yes	0.06	72	$4.31
10:00:45	SELL	No	0.94	10	$9.40