gengarofi
0x5d2bf987c530caabab55f3136d7b82ab988166b9
- Realised P&L
- $-386.15
- Volume
- $28.6k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $32.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.51at 0.370Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?
- +$24.40at 0.450Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 8?
- +$18.21at 0.672Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
- +$16.50at 0.620Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$16.07at 0.609Chargers vs. Giants
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 11:45 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $20.00 |
| 09-26 14:39 | Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-26 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 18:37 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $15.00 |
| 05-08 06:45 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.1099999979 | $43.95 |
| 05-08 06:45 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.24 | $11.32 |
| 05-08 06:45 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $29.42 |
| 04-13 06:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | BUY | 0.1499999989 | $93.20 |
| 04-11 10:36 | Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 04:43 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $29.00 |
| 04-08 04:42 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 04-01 01:57 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.44 |
| 03-31 16:40 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $30.00 |
| 03-31 06:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.93 |
| 03-31 05:33 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.37 |