pjotrekkk
0xf10299cf1fff507cff45e1a906800e5b44bf1348
- Realised P&L
- $23.4k
- Volume
- $2.19M
- Markets traded
- 18,526
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded18,526
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.3kat 0.263Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$6.2kat 0.346Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.1kat 0.476Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.5kat 0.296Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
- +$1.3kat 0.210Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:11 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4 | $200.00 |
| 09-16 12:41 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.61 |
| 09-15 21:43 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4 | $120.00 |
| 09-15 21:31 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.43 | $199.95 |
| 09-15 11:23 | Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-14 11:46 | Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-13 17:51 | Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 09-13 09:57 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.43 | $199.95 |
| 09-13 09:55 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.42 | $179.98 |
| 09-13 09:53 | Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.44 | $92.41 |
| 09-12 15:58 | Oregon vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 54.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 09-12 11:29 | Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.43 | $106.75 |
| 09-12 11:11 | Will Linfield FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-12 11:09 | Will Exeter City FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.26 | $7.54 |
| 09-12 08:26 | Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.049 | $1.57 |