PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pjotrekkk

0xf10299cf1fff507cff45e1a906800e5b44bf1348

Realised P&L
$23.4k
Volume
$2.19M
Markets traded
18,526
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded18,526
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9620.962$769.20$0.80
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.9880.989$494.24+$0.15
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.7710.777$466.48+$3.70
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6980.745$447.00+$28.00
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.9430.981$404.21+$15.40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9810.996$398.20+$5.80
Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? · No0.8380.840$274.07+$0.80
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9800.982$196.31+$0.30
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2840.280$142.80$2.10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2040.255$127.50+$25.50
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1840.165$115.49$13.50
Will Oldham Athletic AFC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.4990.505$101.70+$1.12
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9790.980$98.00+$0.10
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.8400.875$87.50+$3.50
Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 0 - 0 D.C. United SC? · Yes0.0300.489$81.26+$76.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:11Kansas City Royals vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.4$200.00
09-16 12:41Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.23$1.61
09-15 21:43Kansas City Royals vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.4$120.00
09-15 21:31Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.43$199.95
09-15 11:23Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-08-30?BUY0.65$3.25
09-14 11:46Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.53$2.65
09-13 17:51Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?BUY0.8$16.00
09-13 09:57Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.43$199.95
09-13 09:55Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami MarlinsBUY0.42$179.98
09-13 09:53Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.44$92.41
09-12 15:58Oregon vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 54.5BUY0.53$26.50
09-12 11:29Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.43$106.75
09-12 11:11Will Linfield FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.51$10.20
09-12 11:09Will Exeter City FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.26$7.54
09-12 08:26Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 0.5BUY0.049$1.57