Gulgaio
0x973e4609e0dd001a32e4bbc3fca0df98c5ad37dc
- Realised P&L
- $36.71
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $970.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.32at 0.592Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$48.35at 0.177Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.60at 0.564Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.93at 0.012Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-0.56at 0.090Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 23:55 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.00 |
| 10-27 23:53 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 10-27 23:52 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $76.60 |
| 10-27 08:50 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 06:29 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 06:28 | Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 06:28 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 06:27 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.0578854447 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 21:33 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 20:44 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 06:23 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1539999991 | $17.61 |
| 10-05 06:19 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.95 |
| 10-05 06:17 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.025 | $4.17 |
| 10-05 06:17 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.38 | $10.27 |
| 09-25 21:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.64 | $19.88 |