PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x275DB13DcCE9202c3F6E7bAfA04ce1ddA6144589-1771710012886

0x275db13dcce9202c3f6e7bafa04ce1dda6144589

Realised P&L
$81.89
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$58.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3781.000$26.45+$16.45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? · Yes0.5771.000$17.33+$7.33
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$8.59$16.41
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.1540.046$6.05$13.95
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31? · No0.1300.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.3290.000$0.00$25.98
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.2950.000$0.00$122.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Up0.5920.000$0.00$8.98
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down0.4850.000$0.00$11.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-11 02:21US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?BUY0.5771144103$10.00
06-11 02:20Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0029999997$10.00
06-11 02:19Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.377999983$10.00
06-11 02:19Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.1537462938$20.00
03-23 07:12Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.16$25.00
03-23 07:10Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.0599999978$24.95
03-23 07:08US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.32$40.00
02-21 22:30Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.6499999935$9.74
02-21 22:28Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.1263913477$9.94
02-21 22:20Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETBUY0.4215686072$9.70
02-21 22:16Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSELL0.86$15.97
02-21 22:15Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.5299999899$9.69
02-21 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSELL0.97$21.36
02-21 22:10Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.4471205256$9.69
02-21 22:08US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?BUY0.4799999952$20.00