Elenai
0x194ca06990c75220d3c33776ba008c61ccbd1315
- Realised P&L
- $-53.81
- Volume
- $590.00
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $32.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.046 | $11.39 | −$14.43 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.055 | $8.80 | −$6.90 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.055 | $5.50 | −$4.50 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.125 | $5.00 | −$23.00 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.053 | $2.12 | −$1.48 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 01:57 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 07-27 01:56 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $28.00 |
| 07-24 09:40 | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.60 |
| 07-24 04:29 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.098125 | $15.70 |
| 07-24 04:16 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 04:15 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.1053877551 | $25.82 |