PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

VEF7SmxGhr

0x417d34c9906e42dc0d815adc750d560add30a21c

Realised P&L
$-222.29
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$126.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.0720.044$57.19−$35.17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.6100.465$46.50−$14.50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.4500.365$18.25−$4.25
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0820.050$5.00−$3.20
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$82.28
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3600.000$0.00−$10.67
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$1.01
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.5150.000$0.00−$88.16
Will Nicolás Maduro visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$7.70
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on March 19? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$5.93
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$50.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 13:32Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.45$22.50
10-15 13:32Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.082$8.20
10-15 13:31Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.61$61.00
08-26 21:56Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.0740162646$27.30
08-26 21:50Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.071$29.56
08-26 21:49Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.071$35.50
07-14 19:41France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3599999892$10.67
03-15 14:05Will Nicolás Maduro visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0374870446$7.70
03-15 10:05Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $9.00 end of March?SELL0.014437318$4.76
03-15 09:09Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $9.00 end of March?BUY0.0444585153$14.66
03-15 08:56Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on March 19?BUY0.0396410856$5.93
03-14 21:27Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.5899971316$82.28
03-14 21:24Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.9$43.20
03-14 21:19Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.39$50.31
03-14 21:14Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.65$38.35