PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

VEF7SmxGhr

0x417d34c9906e42dc0d815adc750d560add30a21c

Realised P&L
$-254.55
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$59.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.0720.046$59.76$32.60
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$82.28
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3600.000$0.00$10.67
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$1.01
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.5150.000$0.00$88.16
Will Nicolás Maduro visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$7.70
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on March 19? · Yes0.2840.000$0.00$42.47
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$50.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 21:56Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.0740162646$27.30
08-26 21:50Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.071$29.56
08-26 21:49Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.071$35.50
07-14 19:41France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3599999892$10.67
03-15 14:05Will Nicolás Maduro visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0374870446$7.70
03-15 10:05Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $9.00 end of March?SELL0.014437318$4.76
03-15 09:09Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $9.00 end of March?BUY0.0444585153$14.66
03-15 08:56Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on March 19?BUY0.0396410856$5.93
03-14 21:27Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.5899971316$82.28
03-14 21:24Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.9$43.20
03-14 21:19Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.39$50.31
03-14 21:14Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.65$38.35
03-14 21:05Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.515574386$88.16
03-14 20:55Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.021$1.01
03-14 16:50Will Matt Boldy win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?SELL0.488$9.50