0x7D700f0c18a91B1E6a1CEea0085907fC178e80d2-1776595596989
0x7d700f0c18a91b1e6a1ceea0085907fc178e80d2
- Realised P&L
- $-124.63
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $72.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.056 | 0.024 | $38.55 | −$51.45 |
| Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.011 | $15.51 | −$29.48 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.004 | $9.79 | −$30.21 |
| Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $5.65 | −$3.35 |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.075 | $3.42 | −$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.68at 0.716Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$-12.23at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 17:32 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.0878048591 | $4.00 |
| 06-02 21:56 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0290000002 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 21:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $9.67 |
| 06-02 21:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.77 |
| 06-02 21:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |