0x7D700f0c18a91B1E6a1CEea0085907fC178e80d2-1776595596989
0x7d700f0c18a91b1e6a1ceea0085907fc178e80d2
- Realised P&L
- $-200.90
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $45.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.009 | $11.01 | −$18.98 |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.055 | $10.36 | −$3.64 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.054 | $7.84 | −$2.16 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.056 | 0.004 | $7.23 | −$82.77 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.003 | $5.44 | −$34.56 |
| Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.002 | $2.82 | −$42.18 |
| Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $1.13 | −$7.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.65at 0.729Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$-13.01at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 19:57 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.0688602975 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 19:56 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0247735205 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 19:56 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0238356295 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 19:56 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0211564657 | $10.00 |
| 08-25 21:34 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 17:32 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.0878048591 | $4.00 |
| 06-02 21:56 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0290000002 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 21:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $9.67 |
| 06-02 21:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.77 |
| 06-02 21:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |