Blurry-Ball
0x47349fe0b3449c544f514e283530ba0ef9f460b1
- Realised P&L
- $422.09
- Volume
- $56.4k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$307.27at 0.764Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
- +$256.12at 0.851Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$243.21at 0.823Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$243.16at 0.598Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$220.05at 0.609Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 12:57 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $10.20 |
| 10-03 12:54 | Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $24.13 |
| 10-02 21:17 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $45.11 |
| 10-02 21:16 | Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $20.50 |
| 10-02 21:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 10-02 21:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $53.26 |
| 10-02 19:44 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $47.99 |
| 10-02 19:44 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $22.80 |
| 10-02 06:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $175.00 |
| 10-02 06:06 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $131.75 |
| 10-02 06:06 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $14.64 |
| 10-01 22:13 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.0613207741 | $7.00 |
| 10-01 22:07 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 10-01 22:06 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 10-01 21:57 | Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.2791428571 | $29.31 |