PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Blurry-Ball

0x47349fe0b3449c544f514e283530ba0ef9f460b1

Realised P&L
$422.09
Volume
$56.4k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.8160.855$425.39+$19.63
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? · Yes0.7960.830$304.53+$12.35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9500.955$175.92+$0.92
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026? · Yes0.9300.921$138.38−$1.28
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? · No0.7180.790$86.90+$7.90
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3420.355$77.31+$2.80
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1050.065$50.25−$31.32
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8900.885$44.25−$0.25
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.4690.300$27.37−$15.40
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · No0.2790.245$25.73−$3.58
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes0.1010.120$19.97+$3.18
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes0.1520.117$18.83−$5.76
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3400.341$10.21+$0.01
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? · Yes0.7500.425$9.07−$6.93
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.0610.047$5.37−$1.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 12:57Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.34$10.20
10-03 12:54Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.965$24.13
10-02 21:17Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.4$45.11
10-02 21:16Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.41$20.50
10-02 21:13Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?BUY0.78$15.60
10-02 21:13Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?BUY0.77$53.26
10-02 19:44Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.77$47.99
10-02 19:44Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.76$22.80
10-02 06:11Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.95$175.00
10-02 06:06Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.85$131.75
10-02 06:06Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.83$14.64
10-01 22:13Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.0613207741$7.00
10-01 22:07Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?BUY0.73$73.00
10-01 22:06NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.89$44.50
10-01 21:57Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?BUY0.2791428571$29.31