Blurry-Ball
0x47349fe0b3449c544f514e283530ba0ef9f460b1
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $42.7k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$318.98at 0.755Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
- +$264.68at 0.846Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$253.50at 0.817Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$225.22at 0.600Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$160.47at 0.715Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:11 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.477077778 | $106.39 |
| 08-03 18:44 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999977 | $24.38 |
| 08-03 18:44 | Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.1207395514 | $25.57 |
| 08-03 17:56 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.4299999945 | $13.98 |
| 08-01 11:12 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.67 | $98.49 |
| 08-01 07:46 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.755515671 | $80.87 |
| 08-01 07:28 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 07:15 | Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0571978861 | $6.00 |
| 08-01 07:15 | Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0561484163 | $6.00 |
| 08-01 07:14 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999993 | $26.00 |
| 08-01 07:09 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 07:06 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.6835843445 | $70.00 |
| 08-01 07:03 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.6625014768 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 07:02 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.8702802741 | $200.00 |
| 07-31 16:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999998 | $250.00 |