chemp1mln
0x45fb42d054b70e524f9368b5f76ccd8fef0bf1f6
- Realised P&L
- $-29.5k
- Volume
- $2.70M
- Markets traded
- 9,211
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,211
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.634US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$3.3kat 0.795US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.775Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$1.9kat 0.805Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
- +$1.4kat 0.855US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 03:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 03:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.526213193 | $11.00 |
| 09-17 03:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5196708405 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 03:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999503 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $11.00 |
| 09-17 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $11.00 |
| 09-17 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $11.00 |
| 09-17 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999303 | $11.00 |
| 09-17 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $11.00 |
| 09-17 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $122.00 |
| 09-17 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $11.00 |
| 09-17 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $122.00 |
| 09-17 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $11.00 |