0x454202d061FD983265CE016bF9953366f6132637-1775296074821
0x454202d061fd983265ce016bf9953366f6132637
- Realised P&L
- $-133.33
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $143.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.27at 0.452Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
- +$12.78at 0.543Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$8.35at 0.161Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.92at 0.584Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.61at 0.720Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 05:42 | Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 08:35 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 23:27 | Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.017141861 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 21:44 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 07:27 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 19:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 10:03 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 03:37 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.089 | $1.35 |
| 08-02 18:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.029352427 | $1.28 |
| 08-02 14:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 02:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.065999939 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 02:17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.53 |
| 08-01 07:28 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 07:25 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.0563169027 | $5.00 |