0x454202d061FD983265CE016bF9953366f6132637-1775296074821
0x454202d061fd983265ce016bf9953366f6132637
- Realised P&L
- $-105.63
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $149.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.78at 0.543Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$10.37at 0.157Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.89at 0.360Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
- +$8.83at 0.572Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.61at 0.720Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:37 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.089 | $1.35 |
| 08-02 18:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.029352427 | $1.28 |
| 08-02 14:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 02:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.065999939 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 02:17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.53 |
| 08-01 07:28 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 07:25 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.0563169027 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 07:16 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 07:07 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.033999968 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 06:56 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 06:52 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $5.61 |
| 07-30 04:32 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.26 | $6.19 |
| 07-29 20:34 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 16:32 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 15:34 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1479999886 | $10.00 |