PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x454202d061FD983265CE016bF9953366f6132637-1775296074821

0x454202d061fd983265ce016bf9953366f6132637

Realised P&L
$-133.33
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$143.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1480.125$42.26$7.74
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1460.095$26.66$14.34
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1480.110$14.80$5.20
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.4200.235$11.19$8.81
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.745$9.09$0.91
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1600.135$8.44$1.56
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3460.200$5.77$4.23
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes0.0600.049$4.85$1.15
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.0960.046$4.84$5.16
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0560.048$4.22$0.78
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2200.165$3.75$1.25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0870.028$1.26$2.74
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.945$1.01+$0.01
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.0800.065$0.81$0.19
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0700.055$0.79$0.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 05:42Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
08-23 08:350 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-18 23:27Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?BUY0.017141861$1.00
08-14 21:44Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
08-06 07:27Iran nuclear test before 2027?BUY0.059999989$5.00
08-04 19:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-04 10:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
08-04 10:03Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?SELL0.08$1.00
08-03 03:37US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?SELL0.089$1.35
08-02 18:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.029352427$1.28
08-02 14:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.022999978$1.00
08-02 02:18US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.065999939$1.00
08-02 02:17US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.23$1.53
08-01 07:28Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
08-01 07:25Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.0563169027$5.00