PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x454202d061FD983265CE016bF9953366f6132637-1775296074821

0x454202d061fd983265ce016bf9953366f6132637

Realised P&L
$-105.63
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$149.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:37US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?SELL0.089$1.35
08-02 18:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.029352427$1.28
08-02 14:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.022999978$1.00
08-02 02:18US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.065999939$1.00
08-02 02:17US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.23$1.53
08-01 07:28Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
08-01 07:25Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.0563169027$5.00
08-01 07:16US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
08-01 07:07Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.033999968$1.00
08-01 06:56Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.08$1.00
08-01 06:52Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.46$5.61
07-30 04:32Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.26$6.19
07-29 20:34Iran nuclear test before 2027?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-29 16:32Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-29 15:34Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1479999886$10.00
Trader 0x454202d061FD983265CE016bF9953366f6132637-1775296074821 · PolyBot