PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1d1facee39c62a9163293d40244193299e3e6f8d

Realised P&L
$-856.74
Volume
$32.6k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2330.195$1.2k$230.31
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0990.085$426.44$71.55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1010.085$206.49$38.51
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.1110.070$30.04$17.77
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 15? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$15.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4250.000$0.00$190.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 15? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00$7.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 15? · No0.0480.000$0.00$8.20
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 15-21? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 17? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$3.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$8.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 15? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$49.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 23:14Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4249999992$190.00
07-12 21:43Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999992$100.00
07-05 13:55Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999993$145.00
07-05 13:09Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.2178499299$600.00
07-05 12:38Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.2099999984$95.00
07-02 12:17Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.25$370.00
07-02 12:16Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.0978645931$17.81
07-02 12:04Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.25$270.00
07-02 11:41Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.25$90.00
06-25 05:18Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999986$68.00
06-23 22:20Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.1198853746$30.00
06-23 22:18Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999467$2.00
06-22 20:32Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999989$94.00
06-21 12:37Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999996$190.00
06-21 11:57Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999983$44.00