PolyBot

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Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.83. up 0.26 over the period, from 0.57. Range 0.27 to 0.84. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.86100100
0.87265365
0.8978443
0.90329772
0.913821,154
0.922411,395
0.942641,659
0.954402,099
0.961,3953,493
0.971,9865,480
0.983,8729,351
0.994,29613,647

Spread0.05Mid0.83

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.81215215
0.80134349
0.7311360
0.71133493
0.2212504
0.1540544
0.0830574
0.0790664
0.06100764
0.031,3082,072
0.023,0205,092
0.0185,100

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.19215215
0.20134349
0.2711360
0.29133493
0.7812504
0.8540544
0.9230574
0.9390664
0.94100764
0.971,3082,072
0.983,0205,092
0.9985,100

Spread0.05Mid0.17

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.14100100
0.13265365
0.1178443
0.10329772
0.093821,154
0.082411,395
0.062641,659
0.054402,099
0.041,3953,493
0.031,9865,480
0.023,8729,351
0.014,29613,647

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
BeefSlayerYes550
MandalorecYes302
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes249.04
mustbethewaterYes80
WinnerWinnerChickenDinner12Yes75.38
wert4Yes72.27
nebula1Yes40.02
Mithrandir.Yes40
0xF1635E1C8F1e22dC3BEb58e922Bb9e115Db781fe-1769971598348Yes33.33
lowkey.ledgendYes30.74
Sam-AIYes26.26
dsfd3Yes25
0x841e…cb85Yes17.69
winexecutescaleYes7
0xb4a0…993dYes6.85
tryrktryYes5
0x8dee…5600Yes2.74
god83743894Yes1.19
0xa5ef…2966No1,350.07

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:38:42BUYNo0.195$0.95
11:38:42BUYNo0.1910$1.90
10:21:48SELLNo0.189$1.56
10:20:09BUYNo0.18999998969$1.65
10:19:43SELLNo0.1837$6.58
08:09:55SELLYes0.792$1.20
07:33:03BUYYes0.796019900575$60.00
06:17:22SELLNo0.21504450$10.75
06:17:21BUYYes0.739843881126$19.43
06:17:21BUYYes0.72999990077$5.00
06:17:21BUYYes0.72999974093$2.00
06:17:19BUYYes0.7068727273550$388.78
16:48:22SELLNo0.27850$13.90
15:56:30SELLYes0.510$0.06
15:46:10BUYYes0.599999988818$10.69
15:45:10BUYYes0.579999994418$10.33
15:45:10BUYYes0.579999981918$10.26
15:45:10BUYYes0.5818$10.26
15:38:06SELLNo0.4226$10.77
14:48:18SELLNo0.4849$23.30
14:48:13SELLNo0.4852184474321$155.82
13:24:46BUYYes0.5250$26.00
05:46:51SELLYes0.5123$11.52
03:21:03BUYYes0.4625$11.50
01:30:15BUYYes0.55$2.50