0x841ee3d77f07bbc8bdcab2d3e1a711abea1ccb85
- Realised P&L
- $0.92
- Volume
- $99.17
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $14.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.840 | $14.86 | +$4.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.51at 0.966Will no Atlantic hurricane form in August 2026?
- +$0.47at 0.970Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?
- +$-5.24at 0.612Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 15:45 | Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $10.26 |
| 09-15 15:38 | Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $10.77 |
| 09-14 03:08 | Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $15.38 |
| 09-01 20:17 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? | BUY | 0.968 | $14.84 |
| 08-27 04:01 | Will no Atlantic hurricane form in August 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $14.33 |